WSG Tirol 1:0 SK Sturm Graz: xG & match report · Austrian Bundesliga

Saturday, 14/02/2026 at 17:00

Full time

Match report · Austrian Bundesliga

WSG Tirol Home 0.73 xG

SK Sturm Graz Away 0.66 xG

10 The chances were evenly matched

The shots behind it

WSG Tirol SK Sturm Graz

Shots: 13; 7
On target: 4; 2
Inside the box: 6; 2
xG per shot: 0.06; 0.09

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

WSG Tirol

1.47 xG created 1.50 xGA

W 2.11 created, 2.26 conceded against Red Bull Salzburg
D 0.77 created, 0.39 conceded against Austria Wien
W 3.16 created, 0.57 conceded against SK Sturm Graz
L 1.24 created, 3.49 conceded against SC Rheindorf Altach
L 0.46 created, 1.33 conceded against TSV Hartberg
L 1.06 created, 0.97 conceded against LASK

SK Sturm Graz

1.29 xG created 1.57 xGA

L 2.05 created, 1.77 conceded against LASK
W 1.26 created, 0.81 conceded against TSV Hartberg
L 0.57 created, 3.16 conceded against WSG Tirol
W 1.70 created, 1.10 conceded against Grazer AK 1902
L 1.47 created, 2.00 conceded against Austria Wien
W 0.69 created, 0.55 conceded against SV Ried

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

WSG Tirol: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

SK Sturm Graz 1:3 WSG Tirol 03/12/2025 xG 0.57 – 3.16

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.