1. FC Union Berlin 0:0 Hamburger SV: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Sunday, 28/09/2025 at 19:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

1. FC Union Berlin Home 1.37 xG · 11 shots

Hamburger SV Away 1.08 xG · 16 shots

00 1. FC Union Berlin had the better chances, but it finished level

The shots behind it

1. FC Union Berlin Hamburger SV

Shots: 11; 16
On target: 2; 6
Inside the box: 8; 8
xG per shot: 0.13; 0.07
Open play xG: 0.20; 0.66
Set-piece xG: 0.38; 0.40
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.58 for 1. FC Union Berlin and 1.08 for Hamburger SV.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

27 shots · 2.46 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

1. FC Union Berlin
Hamburger SV
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

1. FC Union Berlin

1.43 xG created 2.22 xGA

W 0.35 created, 1.72 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
L 1.14 created, 2.51 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
L 2.59 created, 2.76 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
W 1.64 created, 1.90 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt

Hamburger SV

0.92 xG created 2.00 xGA

D 0.41 created, 1.04 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
L 0.35 created, 1.44 conceded against FC St. Pauli
L 0.58 created, 2.54 conceded against FC Bayern München
W 2.35 created, 2.98 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.