FC Augsburg 2:3 FC Bayern München: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Saturday, 30/08/2025 at 18:30

Full time

Match report · Bundesliga

FC Augsburg Home 0.51 xG · 10 shots

FC Bayern München Away 4.24 xG · 20 shots

23 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

28' Serge Gnabry FC Bayern München · 0.39 xG chance 0–1
45' Luis Díaz FC Bayern München · 0.68 xG chance 0–2
48' Michael Olise FC Bayern München · 0.48 xG chance 0–3
53' Kristijan Jakić FC Augsburg · 0.16 xG chance 1–3
76' Mert Kömür FC Augsburg · 0.08 xG chance 2–3

The shots behind it

FC Augsburg FC Bayern München

Shots: 10; 20
On target: 3; 10
Inside the box: 7; 16
xG per shot: 0.05; 0.21
Open play xG: 0.50; 3.97
Set-piece xG: 0.02; 0.18
Penalties: —; —

FC Augsburg's shots add up to 0.52 xG and FC Bayern München's to 4.15; the published figures are 0.51 and 4.24.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

30 shots · 4.67 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

FC Augsburg
FC Bayern München
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

FC Augsburg

1.34 xG created 2.60 xGA

W 1.34 created, 2.60 conceded against SC Freiburg

FC Bayern München

1.63 xG created 0.54 xGA

W 1.63 created, 0.54 conceded against RB Leipzig

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.