SC Freiburg 3:1 VfB Stuttgart: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Saturday, 13/09/2025 at 15:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

SC Freiburg Home 1.55 xG · 14 shots

VfB Stuttgart Away 0.53 xG · 7 shots

31 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

20' Ermedin Demirović VfB Stuttgart · 0.12 xG chance 0–1
81' Igor Matanović SC Freiburg · 0.05 xG chance 1–1
86' Derry Scherhant SC Freiburg · 0.08 xG chance 2–1
90' Igor Matanović (pen.) SC Freiburg · 0.82 xG chance 3–1

The shots behind it

SC Freiburg VfB Stuttgart

Shots: 14; 7
On target: 6; 2
Inside the box: 10; 4
xG per shot: 0.11; 0.06
Open play xG: 0.61; 0.33
Set-piece xG: 0.13; 0.08
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.76 for SC Freiburg and 0.41 for VfB Stuttgart.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

21 shots · 1.97 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

SC Freiburg
VfB Stuttgart
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

SC Freiburg

1.76 xG created 1.73 xGA

L 2.60 created, 1.34 conceded against FC Augsburg
L 0.91 created, 2.11 conceded against 1. FC Köln

VfB Stuttgart

1.28 xG created 1.09 xGA

L 1.72 created, 0.35 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
W 0.84 created, 1.82 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.