VfL Wolfsburg 1:1 1. FSV Mainz 05: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Sunday, 31/08/2025 at 15:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg Home 0.62 xG · 11 shots

1. FSV Mainz 05 Away 1.95 xG · 17 shots

11 1. FSV Mainz 05 had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

9' Aaron Zehnter VfL Wolfsburg · 0.06 xG chance 1–0
89' Nadiem Amiri (pen.) 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 0.82 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

VfL Wolfsburg 1. FSV Mainz 05

Shots: 11; 17
On target: 3; 3
Inside the box: 7; 14
xG per shot: 0.06; 0.12
Open play xG: 0.39; 0.83
Set-piece xG: 0.22; 0.33
Penalties: 0; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.62 for VfL Wolfsburg and 1.17 for 1. FSV Mainz 05.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

28 shots · 2.59 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

VfL Wolfsburg
1. FSV Mainz 05
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

VfL Wolfsburg

2.45 xG created 0.72 xGA

W 2.45 created, 0.72 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim

1. FSV Mainz 05

1.52 xG created 1.36 xGA

L 1.52 created, 1.36 conceded against 1. FC Köln

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.