Pogoń Szczecin 0:1 Legia Warszawa: xG & match report · Ekstraklasa

Friday, 24/07/2026 at 20:30

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Match report · Ekstraklasa

Pogoń Szczecin Home 1.08 xG · 10 shots

Legia Warszawa Away 3.02 xG · 24 shots

01 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

90' Zoran Arsenić Legia Warszawa · 0.59 xG chance 0–1

The shots behind it

Pogoń Szczecin Legia Warszawa

Shots: 10; 24
On target: 4; 6
Inside the box: 7; 19
xG per shot: 0.11; 0.13
Open play xG: 1.05; 1.97
Set-piece xG: 0.01; 1.24
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.08 for Pogoń Szczecin and 3.21 for Legia Warszawa.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

34 shots · 4.27 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Pogoń Szczecin
Legia Warszawa
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Pogoń Szczecin

1.24 xG created 1.48 xGA

L 0.61 created, 3.74 conceded against Lech Poznań
D 0.97 created, 0.98 conceded against Cracovia
W 1.91 created, 0.62 conceded against Wisła Płock
L 0.96 created, 2.09 conceded against Jagiellonia Białystok
W 1.97 created, 0.56 conceded against Zagłębie Lubin
D 1.00 created, 0.87 conceded against GKS Katowice

Legia Warszawa

1.36 xG created 1.02 xGA

W 1.80 created, 0.41 conceded against Zagłębie Lubin
L 0.34 created, 3.04 conceded against Lech Poznań
W 1.66 created, 0.30 conceded against Widzew Łódź
W 0.51 created, 0.81 conceded against Bruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza
W 1.53 created, 1.03 conceded against KS Lechia Gdańsk
W 2.33 created, 0.54 conceded against Motor Lublin

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Pogoń Szczecin: 0 won · 0 drawn · 2 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.