What Lillestrøm SK have left to play in Eliteserien 2026/2027, soonest first. Open a match for the projection behind it and the prices standing against it.
Fixture outlook
5 matches ahead in Eliteserien
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
What the fixtures say
The run of 5 matches ahead of Lillestrøm SK in Eliteserien rates 3.0 of 5 for difficulty, which the scale calls Balanced. Every fixture the model has banded in it rates even, so nothing in the run is kinder or harder than the middle of the scale. The model expects 1.27 projected xG a match from them and 6.5 of the 15 points the priced fixtures could return. The hardest of them is IK Start away, banded 3 of 5 — Balanced, against an attack rated 56/99 and a defence rated 46/99.
The run at a glance
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Open the match page for Molde FK
Sun 11/10 Home Molde FK Eliteserien
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 68/99, defence 68/99Projected xG 1.19 – 1.32 Projected xPts 1.24- Lillestrøm SK
- 31%
- Draw
- 32%
- Molde FK
- 38%
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Open the match page for Sandefjord Fotball
Sun 18/10 Away Sandefjord Fotball Eliteserien
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 43/99, defence 44/99Projected xG 1.12 – 1.36 Projected xPts 1.16- Sandefjord Fotball
- 40%
- Draw
- 32%
- Lillestrøm SK
- 28%
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Open the match page for SK Brann
Sun 25/10 Home SK Brann Eliteserien
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 50/99, defence 50/99Projected xG 1.34 – 1.15 Projected xPts 1.48- Lillestrøm SK
- 39%
- Draw
- 32%
- SK Brann
- 30%
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Open the match page for IK Start
Sun 01/11 Away IK Start Eliteserien
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 56/99, defence 46/99Projected xG 1.10 – 1.51 Projected xPts 1.05- IK Start
- 45%
- Draw
- 30%
- Lillestrøm SK
- 25%
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Open the match page for Aalesunds FK
Sun 08/11 Home Aalesunds FK Eliteserien
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 60/99, defence 22/99Projected xG 1.59 – 1.24 Projected xPts 1.60- Lillestrøm SK
- 44%
- Draw
- 29%
- Aalesunds FK
- 27%
Eliteserien publishes only its next few rounds, so the list stops here. The rest of the season is added as the league schedules it.
The band is how hard the model rates each match, from 1 (easiest) to 5 (hardest). Opponent attack and defence use the same 1–99 scale as Team Strength, where 50 is the average side in Eliteserien.
Fixture difficulty in Eliteserien
Reads each matchup for Lillestrøm SK: the band is cut from the model's chances of Lillestrøm SK winning and losing the match, so Lillestrøm SK's own strength and home advantage are in it.
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
Upcoming opponent strength
tied number 7 hardest of 16 in Eliteserien
+0.03 xG vs league average
Over 5 upcoming league fixtures
Reads the opponents alone, whoever plays them: each one's fitted xG margin against Eliteserien's average club, with no venue and nothing of Lillestrøm SK's own strength in it.
Opponents behind the figure
Upcoming
+0.03 xG vs league average · over 5 fixtures · tied number 7 hardest of 16
- Molde FK Home +0.35
- Sandefjord Fotball Away −0.13
- SK Brann Home 0.00
- IK Start Away +0.04
- Aalesunds FK Home −0.12
About these numbers
What is published, what is worked out, and what is the model's
Published by the fixtures feed and stored as it arrives: the kickoff time, the two clubs, the competition, and whether a match is still scheduled.
Worked out here from stored figures: each opponent's attack and defence on a 1–99 scale, where 50 is the average side in Eliteserien and a higher score is a stronger side at both ends; the difficulty band, cut from the model's chances of winning and losing each fixture; and everything the outlook, the strip and the fixture difficulty block add up from the rows — the run's mean band, its averages and totals, the counts they were taken over, the placings and the competition's average.
Worked out here from the model's ratings alone: the Upcoming opponent strength block, the mean of the next 5 opponents' fitted xG margins against the league's average club, whoever plays them, and its rank among the competition's clubs.
The model's output, for matches nobody has played yet: projected xG and xGA, the chances of a win, a draw and a loss, and xPts.
Projected xG is what the model expects a side to create in a match still to come. It is not the xG on the Results page, which measures the chances a side actually had.
xPts is what those three chances are worth in points: 3 times the chance of a win plus the chance of a draw, so 3 is the most a single fixture can be worth.
The difficulty band runs from 1, the most favourable fixture, to 5, the least favourable — so the lower a run's difficulty, the kinder the run.