Molde FK 3:2 Tromsø IL: xG & match report · Eliteserien

Sunday, 16/08/2026 at 17:00

Full time

Match report · Eliteserien

Molde FK Home 2.50 xG · 13 shots

Tromsø IL Away 0.65 xG · 7 shots

32 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

41' Eirik Hestad (pen.) Molde FK · 0.82 xG chance 1–0
53' Heine Asen Larsen Tromsø IL · 0.08 xG chance 1–1
55' Oskar Spiten-Nysæter Molde FK · 0.31 xG chance 2–1
90' Trent Kone Doherty Molde FK · 0.76 xG chance – Scored in the same minute as another goal, so the score after it is not shown.
90' Ieltsin Camões Tromsø IL · 0.14 xG chance – Scored in the same minute as another goal, so the score after it is not shown.

The shots behind it

Molde FK Tromsø IL

Shots: 13; 7
On target: 4; 3
Inside the box: 9; 5
xG per shot: 0.19; 0.09
Open play xG: 0.77; 0.32
Set-piece xG: 0.92; 0.30
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.74 for Molde FK and 0.61 for Tromsø IL.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

20 shots · 3.13 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Molde FK
Tromsø IL
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Molde FK

2.11 xG created 0.83 xGA

W 0.99 created, 1.24 conceded against Sandefjord Fotball
D 1.91 created, 0.61 conceded against Aalesunds FK
L 1.36 created, 0.71 conceded against SK Brann
W 3.54 created, 0.69 conceded against KFUM Oslo
D 1.62 created, 1.09 conceded against Sarpsborg 08
L 3.21 created, 0.66 conceded against Kristiansund BK

Tromsø IL

1.38 xG created 1.52 xGA

L 0.11 created, 3.59 conceded against Bodø/Glimt
D 1.59 created, 0.90 conceded against Aalesunds FK
D 0.84 created, 0.36 conceded against KFUM Oslo
W 1.95 created, 0.77 conceded against Vålerenga IF
W 1.90 created, 0.80 conceded against HamKam
W 1.86 created, 2.69 conceded against Aalesunds FK

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Molde FK: 1 won · 0 drawn · 2 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.