xgEdge

Sunday, 24/08/2025 at 16:45

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Match report · Eredivisie

AFC Ajax 2:0 Heracles Almelo

AFC Ajax Home 2.75 xG
Heracles Almelo Away 0.18 xG
20 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

AFC Ajax Heracles Almelo
Shots
27
3
On target
10
0
Inside the box
22
2
xG per shot
0.10
0.06

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
AFC Ajax

1.78 xG created 0.86 xGA

  • W 1.69 created, 1.08 conceded against SC Telstar
  • D 1.87 created, 0.64 conceded against Go Ahead Eagles
Heracles Almelo

0.96 xG created 2.51 xGA

  • L 0.82 created, 1.98 conceded against FC Utrecht
  • L 1.09 created, 3.03 conceded against NEC Nijmegen

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.