xgEdge

Expected goals

RAAL La Louvière expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Jupiler Pro League · after 7 matches · updated 1 Oct

RAAL La Louvière's attacking and defensive expected goals in Jupiler Pro League 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

RAAL La Louvière xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.29 xG per match
#11/18
Attack (xG per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Club Brugge KV 2.16
#2 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 2.09
#3 RC Sporting Charleroi 1.91
#4 Sint-Truidense VV 1.91
#5 Standard Liège 1.79
#6 KRC Genk 1.78
#7 Cercle Brugge 1.69
#8 RSC Anderlecht 1.62
#9 KVC Westerlo 1.45
#10 Royal Antwerp FC 1.34
#11 RAAL La Louvière 1.29
#12 SV Zulte Waregem 1.26
#13 KV Mechelen 1.22
#14 KAA Gent 1.16
#15 SK Beveren 1.11
#16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1.01
#17 KV Kortrijk 0.99
#18 Lommel SK 0.94
League avg
1.48
Total
9.01 7 matches
Defence
1.65 xGA per match
#11/18
Defence (xGA per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 KAA Gent 0.66
#2 RSC Anderlecht 0.87
#3 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 1.02
#4 RC Sporting Charleroi 1.06
#5 KRC Genk 1.08
#6 Club Brugge KV 1.20
#7 SV Zulte Waregem 1.31
#8 KV Mechelen 1.46
#9 Lommel SK 1.50
#10 Standard Liège 1.53
#11 RAAL La Louvière 1.65
#12 Cercle Brugge 1.75
#13 KVC Westerlo 1.81
#14 Sint-Truidense VV 1.84
#15 SK Beveren 1.86
#16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1.88
#17 KV Kortrijk 1.92
#18 Royal Antwerp FC 2.30
League avg
1.48
Total
11.56 7 matches
xG difference
-0.36 xGD per match
#12/18
xG difference (xGD per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise +1.06
#2 Club Brugge KV +0.96
#3 RC Sporting Charleroi +0.86
#4 RSC Anderlecht +0.76
#5 KRC Genk +0.70
#6 KAA Gent +0.50
#7 Standard Liège +0.25
#8 Sint-Truidense VV +0.07
#9 SV Zulte Waregem -0.05
#10 Cercle Brugge -0.07
#11 KV Mechelen -0.24
#12 RAAL La Louvière -0.36
#13 KVC Westerlo -0.37
#14 Lommel SK -0.56
#15 SK Beveren -0.75
#16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven -0.87
#17 KV Kortrijk -0.93
#18 Royal Antwerp FC -0.97
League avg
0.00
Total
-2.55 7 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.08 xPts per match
#13/18
Expected points (xPts per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 RC Sporting Charleroi 2.02
#2 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 1.98
#3 Club Brugge KV 1.90
#4 RSC Anderlecht 1.88
#5 KAA Gent 1.81
#6 KRC Genk 1.64
#7 Standard Liège 1.48
#8 Sint-Truidense VV 1.44
#9 SV Zulte Waregem 1.34
#10 Cercle Brugge 1.25
#11 KVC Westerlo 1.24
#12 KV Mechelen 1.19
#13 RAAL La Louvière 1.08
#14 Royal Antwerp FC 1.00
#15 Lommel SK 1.00
#16 SK Beveren 0.95
#17 KV Kortrijk 0.87
#18 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.86
League avg
1.39
Total
7.54 vs 4 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

RAAL La Louvière's underlying numbers sit close to the Jupiler Pro League average. They rank #12 for xG difference at -0.36 per match, built on high chance quality rather than low shot volume. Their 7 goals are 2.01 below 9.01 xG, while 4 points are 3.54 below 7.54 xPts. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 0.56 xG from penalties
7 9.01 -2.01 scored 2.01 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
14 11.56 +2.44 conceded 2.44 more than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
4 7.54 -3.54 3.54 points below xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

RAAL La Louvière are 2.01 goals below their xG after 7 matches.

Goals
7
xG
9.01
Gap
-2.01
Sun 09/08 Sun 16/08 Fri 21/08 Sat 29/08 Sat 05/09 Sun 13/09 Sat 19/09 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +0.26 +0.72 -0.35 -0.52 -0.96 -1.54 -2.01 +0.26 +0.46 -1.07 -0.17 -0.44 -0.58 -0.47 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
RAAL La Louvière: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 09/08 RSC Anderlecht 1 0.74 +0.26 +0.26
Sun 16/08 KAA Gent 1 0.54 +0.46 +0.72
Fri 21/08 Standard Liège 0 1.07 -1.07 -0.35
Sat 29/08 KV Mechelen 2 2.17 -0.17 -0.52
Sat 05/09 Sint-Truidense VV 0 0.44 -0.44 -0.96
Sun 13/09 KV Kortrijk 3 3.58 -0.58 -1.54
Sat 19/09 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0 0.47 -0.47 -2.01

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

RAAL La Louvière xG trend

Current form -0.16 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 1 of 7 matches. The worst was against RSC Anderlecht on Sun 09/08 (-2.33).

npxG · last 6
1.29
npxGA · last 6
1.45
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 -2.33 Sun 09/08 -0.64 Sun 16/08 -0.14 Fri 21/08 -0.04 Sat 29/08 -1.96 Sat 05/09 +2.20 Sun 13/09 -0.38 Sat 19/09 -0.47 season avg
RAAL La Louvière: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 09/08 RSC Anderlecht 0.74 3.07 -2.33 -2.33
Sun 16/08 KAA Gent 0.54 1.18 -0.64 -1.49
Fri 21/08 Standard Liège 1.01 1.15 -0.14 -1.04
Sat 29/08 KV Mechelen 2.23 2.27 -0.04 -0.79
Sat 05/09 Sint-Truidense VV 0.44 2.40 -1.96 -1.02
Sun 13/09 KV Kortrijk 3.01 0.81 +2.20 -0.49
Sat 19/09 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.48 0.86 -0.38 -0.47

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.21 npxG and 1.68 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 15 hardest of 18 in Jupiler Pro League
−0.09 xG vs league average
Over 7 league matches
Last 5
number 18 hardest of 18 in Jupiler Pro League
−0.19 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.09 xG vs league average · over 7 matches · tied number 15 hardest of 18

  1. Oud-Heverlee Leuven Away −0.25
  2. KV Kortrijk Home −0.30
  3. Sint-Truidense VV Away +0.11
  4. KV Mechelen Home −0.34
  5. Standard Liège Away −0.19
  6. KAA Gent Home +0.09
  7. RSC Anderlecht Away +0.21

Last 5

−0.19 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 18 hardest of 18

  1. Oud-Heverlee Leuven Away −0.25
  2. KV Kortrijk Home −0.30
  3. Sint-Truidense VV Away +0.11
  4. KV Mechelen Home −0.34
  5. Standard Liège Away −0.19

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

RAAL La Louvière shots and chance quality

Low volume, high quality. RAAL La Louvière take 10.9 shots a match (league 14.2) at 0.11 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #16 in Jupiler Pro League for volume and #4 for quality. 61% of their shots come from inside the box (league 69%), and set pieces produce 20% of their npxG (league 25%).

Attack

Shot volume
10.9 shots per match
#16/18
Shot volume (shots per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Club Brugge KV 18.7
#2 RC Sporting Charleroi 18.0
=3 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 17.3
=3 Sint-Truidense VV 17.3
#5 RSC Anderlecht 16.6
#6 KVC Westerlo 15.3
#7 Royal Antwerp FC 15.1
#8 Cercle Brugge 14.7
#9 KRC Genk 14.1
#10 Standard Liège 14.0
#11 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 13.1
#12 SV Zulte Waregem 12.9
#13 KAA Gent 12.4
#14 KV Mechelen 11.9
#15 KV Kortrijk 11.7
#16 RAAL La Louvière 10.9
#17 SK Beveren 10.7
#18 Lommel SK 10.0
League avg
14.2
Total
76 shots from 7 matches
Chance quality
0.11 npxG per shot
#4/18
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0.12
#2 Standard Liège 0.11
#3 Sint-Truidense VV 0.11
#4 RAAL La Louvière 0.11
#5 KRC Genk 0.11
#6 Club Brugge KV 0.10
#7 Cercle Brugge 0.10
#8 RSC Anderlecht 0.10
#9 SV Zulte Waregem 0.10
#10 RC Sporting Charleroi 0.10
#11 SK Beveren 0.09
#12 KVC Westerlo 0.09
#13 KV Kortrijk 0.09
#14 KAA Gent 0.09
#15 KV Mechelen 0.09
#16 Royal Antwerp FC 0.08
#17 Lommel SK 0.08
#18 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.08
League avg
0.10
Total
8.45 npxG from 76 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
15.7 shots per match
#16/18
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 RSC Anderlecht 9.9
#2 KAA Gent 10.3
#3 RC Sporting Charleroi 11.0
#4 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 11.3
#5 SV Zulte Waregem 12.1
#6 Club Brugge KV 13.1
#7 Cercle Brugge 13.6
#8 KV Mechelen 14.3
#9 KRC Genk 14.7
=10 KV Kortrijk 14.9
=10 Sint-Truidense VV 14.9
=12 KVC Westerlo 15.0
=12 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 15.0
#14 Standard Liège 15.3
#15 SK Beveren 15.6
#16 RAAL La Louvière 15.7
#17 Royal Antwerp FC 17.1
#18 Lommel SK 21.0
League avg
14.2
Total
110 shots allowed from 7 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.11 npxGA per shot
#12/18
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 KRC Genk 0.07
#2 KAA Gent 0.07
#3 Lommel SK 0.07
#4 Standard Liège 0.08
#5 RSC Anderlecht 0.09
#6 RC Sporting Charleroi 0.09
#7 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0.09
#8 Club Brugge KV 0.09
#9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.10
#10 SV Zulte Waregem 0.10
#11 KV Mechelen 0.11
#12 RAAL La Louvière 0.11
#13 Sint-Truidense VV 0.11
#14 SK Beveren 0.11
#15 Cercle Brugge 0.11
#16 KV Kortrijk 0.11
#17 KVC Westerlo 0.11
#18 Royal Antwerp FC 0.12
League avg
0.10
Total
11.74 npxGA from 110 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

61% inside the box

League avg 69%

From 46 of 76 shots over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

74% allowed inside the box

League avg 69%

From 81 of 110 shots allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

80% open play · 20% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 1.7 of 8.4 npxG over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

76% open play · 24% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 2.9 of 11.8 npxG allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

RAAL La Louvière home and away xG

RAAL La Louvière per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 3 4
xG / match 2.10 0.68
xGA / match 1.37 1.87
xGD / match +0.73 -1.19
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.66 0.64

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every RAAL La Louvière match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

Last 5

Matches
5
xG / match
1.55
xGA / match
1.47
xGD / match
+0.08
Points
4 of 15
  1. Sat 19/09 Oud-Heverlee Leuven A xG 0.47 xGA 0.86 xGD -0.39
  2. Sun 13/09 KV Kortrijk H Best underlying xG 3.58 P xGA 0.81 xGD +2.77
  3. Sat 05/09 Sint-Truidense VV A Weakest underlying xG 0.44 xGA 2.40 xGD -1.96
  4. Sat 29/08 KV Mechelen H xG 2.17 xGA 2.11 xGD +0.06
  5. Fri 21/08 Standard Liège A xG 1.07 xGA 1.15 xGD -0.08

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.58. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

RAAL La Louvière in Jupiler Pro League

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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