Athletic Club 1:1 Real Sociedad: xG & match report · La Liga

Sunday, 01/02/2026 at 21:00

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Match report · La Liga

Athletic Club Home 1.07 xG · 19 shots

Real Sociedad Away 1.83 xG · 8 shots

11 Real Sociedad had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

37' Gonçalo Guedes Real Sociedad · 0.03 xG chance 0–1
88' Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta Athletic Club · 0.17 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Athletic Club Real Sociedad

Shots: 19; 8
On target: 4; 6
Inside the box: 12; 6
xG per shot: 0.05; 0.23
Open play xG: 0.79; 1.28
Set-piece xG: 0.23; 0.57
Penalties: —; —

Athletic Club's shots add up to 1.02 xG and Real Sociedad's to 1.85; the published figures are 1.07 and 1.83.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

27 shots · 2.87 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Athletic Club
Real Sociedad
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Athletic Club

1.61 xG created 1.42 xGA

W 1.15 created, 0.69 conceded against Atlético Madrid
L 1.62 created, 1.40 conceded against Celta Vigo
L 1.59 created, 0.90 conceded against Espanyol
D 1.46 created, 0.67 conceded against Osasuna
L 2.11 created, 2.79 conceded against Mallorca
L 1.74 created, 2.09 conceded against Sevilla

Real Sociedad

1.30 xG created 1.52 xGA

L 0.95 created, 1.43 conceded against Girona FC
D 1.38 created, 1.29 conceded against Levante UD
D 1.73 created, 1.25 conceded against Atlético Madrid
W 1.11 created, 0.24 conceded against Getafe
W 1.01 created, 3.69 conceded against Barcelona
W 1.61 created, 1.22 conceded against Celta Vigo

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Athletic Club: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Real Sociedad 3:2 Athletic Club 01/11/2025 xG 1.52 – 0.83

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.