What Deportivo Alavés have left to play in La Liga 2026/2027, soonest first. Open a match for the projection behind it and the prices standing against it.
Fixture outlook
31 matches ahead in La Liga
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
What the fixtures say
The run of 31 matches ahead of Deportivo Alavés in La Liga rates 2.9 of 5 for difficulty, which the scale calls Balanced. 10 of them rate easier than balanced, and 5 of them rate harder than balanced. The model expects 1.26 projected xG a match from them and 44.0 of the 93 points the priced fixtures could return. The hardest of them is Barcelona away, banded 5 of 5 — Very difficult, against an attack rated 89/99 and a defence rated 79/99. Worth reading those figures against: the fit behind at least one of these fixtures is drawn from a thin sample of played matches.
The run at a glance
Málaga home Fri 23/10
Projected xG 1.55 – 0.79 Deportivo Alavés win 55%
Barcelona away Sun 01/11
Projected xG 0.87 – 2.07 Deportivo Alavés win 12%
-
Open the match page for Atlético Madrid
Sat 10/10 Home Atlético Madrid La Liga
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 64/99, defence 67/99Projected xG 1.28 – 1.16 Projected xPts 1.43- Deportivo Alavés
- 37%
- Draw
- 32%
- Atlético Madrid
- 31%
-
Open the match page for Celta Vigo
Sun 18/10 Away Celta Vigo La Liga
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 30/99, defence 42/99Projected xG 1.15 – 1.01 Projected xPts 1.44- Celta Vigo
- 29%
- Draw
- 34%
- Deportivo Alavés
- 37%
-
Open the match page for Málaga
Fri 23/10 Home Málaga La Liga
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 31/99, defence 36/99Projected xG 1.55 – 0.79 Projected xPts 1.93- Deportivo Alavés
- 55%
- Draw
- 29%
- Málaga
- 16%
-
Open the match page for Barcelona
Sun 01/11 Away Barcelona La Liga
5 Very difficult Opponent: attack 89/99, defence 79/99Projected xG 0.87 – 2.07 Projected xPts 0.59- Barcelona
- 65%
- Draw
- 23%
- Deportivo Alavés
- 12%
-
Open the match page for Sevilla
Sun 08/11 Away Sevilla La Liga
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 33/99, defence 72/99Projected xG 0.94 – 1.06 Projected xPts 1.22- Sevilla
- 36%
- Draw
- 36%
- Deportivo Alavés
- 29%
-
Open the match page for Deportivo La Coruña
Sun 22/11 Home Deportivo La Coruña La Liga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 38/99, defence 42/99Projected xG 1.50 – 0.87 Projected xPts 1.83- Deportivo Alavés
- 51%
- Draw
- 30%
- Deportivo La Coruña
- 19%
-
Open the match page for Real Madrid
Sun 29/11 Away Real Madrid La Liga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 79/99, defence 66/99Projected xG 0.98 – 1.78 Projected xPts 0.80- Real Madrid
- 56%
- Draw
- 27%
- Deportivo Alavés
- 18%
-
Open the match page for Espanyol
Sun 06/12 Home Espanyol La Liga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 48/99, defence 39/99Projected xG 1.53 – 0.98 Projected xPts 1.76- Deportivo Alavés
- 49%
- Draw
- 30%
- Espanyol
- 21%
-
Open the match page for Levante UD
Sun 13/12 Away Levante UD La Liga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 58/99, defence 35/99Projected xG 1.20 – 1.43 Projected xPts 1.17- Levante UD
- 41%
- Draw
- 31%
- Deportivo Alavés
- 29%
-
Open the match page for Elche
Sun 20/12 Home Elche La Liga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 38/99, defence 39/99Projected xG 1.53 – 0.87 Projected xPts 1.85- Deportivo Alavés
- 52%
- Draw
- 30%
- Elche
- 19%
-
Open the match page for Real Betis
Sun 03/01 Away Real Betis La Liga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 61/99, defence 35/99Projected xG 1.19 – 1.48 Projected xPts 1.14- Real Betis
- 42%
- Draw
- 30%
- Deportivo Alavés
- 28%
-
Open the match page for Real Sociedad
Sun 10/01 Home Real Sociedad La Liga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 43/99, defence 25/99Projected xG 1.66 – 0.92 Projected xPts 1.90- Deportivo Alavés
- 54%
- Draw
- 28%
- Real Sociedad
- 18%
-
Open the match page for Villarreal
Sun 17/01 Away Villarreal La Liga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 64/99, defence 54/99Projected xG 1.07 – 1.51 Projected xPts 1.02- Villarreal
- 46%
- Draw
- 30%
- Deportivo Alavés
- 24%
-
Open the match page for Barcelona
Sun 24/01 Home Barcelona La Liga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 89/99, defence 79/99Projected xG 1.13 – 1.58 Projected xPts 1.03- Deportivo Alavés
- 25%
- Draw
- 29%
- Barcelona
- 46%
-
Open the match page for Málaga
Sun 31/01 Away Málaga La Liga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 31/99, defence 36/99Projected xG 1.19 – 1.03 Projected xPts 1.45- Málaga
- 29%
- Draw
- 34%
- Deportivo Alavés
- 37%
-
Open the match page for Celta Vigo
Sun 07/02 Home Celta Vigo La Liga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 30/99, defence 42/99Projected xG 1.50 – 0.77 Projected xPts 1.91- Deportivo Alavés
- 54%
- Draw
- 30%
- Celta Vigo
- 16%
-
Open the match page for Valencia
Sun 14/02 Away Valencia La Liga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 41/99, defence 38/99Projected xG 1.17 – 1.18 Projected xPts 1.33- Valencia
- 34%
- Draw
- 33%
- Deportivo Alavés
- 33%
-
Open the match page for Racing de Santander
Sun 21/02 Home Racing de Santander La Liga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 43/99, defence 23/99Projected xG 1.68 – 0.92 Projected xPts 1.92- Deportivo Alavés
- 55%
- Draw
- 28%
- Racing de Santander
- 17%
-
Open the match page for Getafe
Sun 28/02 Away Getafe La Liga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 27/99, defence 59/99Projected xG 1.03 – 0.95 Projected xPts 1.38- Getafe
- 30%
- Draw
- 36%
- Deportivo Alavés
- 34%
-
Open the match page for Athletic Club
Sun 07/03 Home Athletic Club La Liga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 58/99, defence 82/99Projected xG 1.09 – 1.09 Projected xPts 1.33- Deportivo Alavés
- 33%
- Draw
- 34%
- Athletic Club
- 33%
-
Open the match page for Sevilla
Sun 14/03 Home Sevilla La Liga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 33/99, defence 72/99Projected xG 1.23 – 0.81 Projected xPts 1.67- Deportivo Alavés
- 44%
- Draw
- 34%
- Sevilla
- 22%
-
Open the match page for Real Sociedad
Sun 21/03 Away Real Sociedad La Liga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 43/99, defence 25/99Projected xG 1.27 – 1.21 Projected xPts 1.39- Real Sociedad
- 32%
- Draw
- 32%
- Deportivo Alavés
- 36%
-
Open the match page for Elche
Sun 04/04 Away Elche La Liga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 38/99, defence 39/99Projected xG 1.17 – 1.14 Projected xPts 1.36- Elche
- 33%
- Draw
- 33%
- Deportivo Alavés
- 34%
-
Open the match page for Real Betis
Sun 11/04 Home Real Betis La Liga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 61/99, defence 35/99Projected xG 1.56 – 1.13 Projected xPts 1.67- Deportivo Alavés
- 46%
- Draw
- 29%
- Real Betis
- 25%
-
Open the match page for Rayo Vallecano
Sun 18/04 Home Rayo Vallecano La Liga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 56/99, defence 47/99Projected xG 1.45 – 1.07 Projected xPts 1.64- Deportivo Alavés
- 44%
- Draw
- 31%
- Rayo Vallecano
- 25%
-
Open the match page for Osasuna
Wed 21/04 Away Osasuna La Liga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 37/99, defence 50/99Projected xG 1.09 – 1.12 Projected xPts 1.31- Osasuna
- 34%
- Draw
- 34%
- Deportivo Alavés
- 32%
-
Open the match page for Atlético Madrid
Sun 02/05 Away Atlético Madrid La Liga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 64/99, defence 67/99Projected xG 0.98 – 1.52 Projected xPts 0.94- Atlético Madrid
- 49%
- Draw
- 30%
- Deportivo Alavés
- 21%
-
Open the match page for Levante UD
Sun 09/05 Home Levante UD La Liga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 58/99, defence 35/99Projected xG 1.56 – 1.09 Projected xPts 1.70- Deportivo Alavés
- 47%
- Draw
- 30%
- Levante UD
- 24%
-
Open the match page for Deportivo La Coruña
Sun 16/05 Away Deportivo La Coruña La Liga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 38/99, defence 42/99Projected xG 1.15 – 1.13 Projected xPts 1.34- Deportivo La Coruña
- 33%
- Draw
- 33%
- Deportivo Alavés
- 34%
-
Open the match page for Real Madrid
Sun 23/05 Home Real Madrid La Liga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 79/99, defence 66/99Projected xG 1.28 – 1.37 Projected xPts 1.28- Deportivo Alavés
- 32%
- Draw
- 31%
- Real Madrid
- 37%
-
Open the match page for Espanyol
Sun 30/05 Away Espanyol La Liga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 48/99, defence 39/99Projected xG 1.17 – 1.29 Projected xPts 1.25- Espanyol
- 37%
- Draw
- 32%
- Deportivo Alavés
- 31%
The band is how hard the model rates each match, from 1 (easiest) to 5 (hardest). Opponent attack and defence use the same 1–99 scale as Team Strength, where 50 is the average side in La Liga.
Fixture difficulty in La Liga
Reads each matchup for Deportivo Alavés: the band is cut from the model's chances of Deportivo Alavés winning and losing the match, so Deportivo Alavés's own strength and home advantage are in it.
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
Upcoming opponent strength
number 6 hardest of 20 in La Liga
+0.10 xG vs league average
Over 5 upcoming league fixtures
Reads the opponents alone, whoever plays them: each one's fitted xG margin against La Liga's average club, with no venue and nothing of Deportivo Alavés's own strength in it.
Opponents behind the figure
Upcoming
+0.10 xG vs league average · over 5 fixtures · number 6 hardest of 20
- Atlético Madrid Home +0.34
- Celta Vigo Away −0.36
- Málaga Home −0.38
- Barcelona Away +1.00
- Sevilla Away −0.07
About these numbers
What is published, what is worked out, and what is the model's
Published by the fixtures feed and stored as it arrives: the kickoff time, the two clubs, the competition, and whether a match is still scheduled.
Worked out here from stored figures: each opponent's attack and defence on a 1–99 scale, where 50 is the average side in La Liga and a higher score is a stronger side at both ends; the difficulty band, cut from the model's chances of winning and losing each fixture; and everything the outlook, the strip and the fixture difficulty block add up from the rows — the run's mean band, its averages and totals, the counts they were taken over, the placings and the competition's average.
Worked out here from the model's ratings alone: the Upcoming opponent strength block, the mean of the next 5 opponents' fitted xG margins against the league's average club, whoever plays them, and its rank among the competition's clubs.
The model's output, for matches nobody has played yet: projected xG and xGA, the chances of a win, a draw and a loss, and xPts.
Projected xG is what the model expects a side to create in a match still to come. It is not the xG on the Results page, which measures the chances a side actually had.
xPts is what those three chances are worth in points: 3 times the chance of a win plus the chance of a draw, so 3 is the most a single fixture can be worth.
The difficulty band runs from 1, the most favourable fixture, to 5, the least favourable — so the lower a run's difficulty, the kinder the run.