Elche 2:1 Celta Vigo: xG & match report · La Liga

Sunday, 28/09/2025 at 16:15

Full time

Match report · La Liga

Elche Home 3.58 xG · 17 shots

Celta Vigo Away 0.77 xG · 8 shots

21 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

18' André Silva Elche · 0.91 xG chance 1–0
22' Borja Iglesias Celta Vigo · 0.09 xG chance 1–1
68' John Donald Elche · 0.22 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Elche Celta Vigo

Shots: 17; 8
On target: 8; 2
Inside the box: 15; 7
xG per shot: 0.21; 0.10
Open play xG: 2.61; 0.73
Set-piece xG: 0.21; 0.04
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.79 for Elche.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

25 shots · 4.41 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Elche
Celta Vigo
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Elche

0.96 xG created 1.16 xGA

D 0.73 created, 1.86 conceded against Real Betis
D 0.57 created, 1.74 conceded against Atlético Madrid
W 1.11 created, 1.01 conceded against Levante UD
D 0.95 created, 0.38 conceded against Sevilla
W 1.55 created, 1.09 conceded against Real Oviedo
D 0.82 created, 0.90 conceded against Osasuna

Celta Vigo

1.05 xG created 0.87 xGA

L 0.73 created, 1.43 conceded against Getafe
D 0.74 created, 0.68 conceded against Mallorca
D 0.83 created, 0.33 conceded against Real Betis
D 0.68 created, 1.15 conceded against Villarreal
D 2.50 created, 0.64 conceded against Girona FC
D 0.81 created, 0.99 conceded against Rayo Vallecano

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.