Real Madrid 2:1 Barcelona: xG & match report · La Liga

Sunday, 26/10/2025 at 16:15

Full time

Match report · La Liga

Real Madrid Home 3.63 xG · 23 shots

Barcelona Away 1.03 xG · 15 shots

21 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

22' Kylian Mbappé Real Madrid · 0.57 xG chance 1–0
38' Fermín López Barcelona · 0.37 xG chance 1–1
43' Jude Bellingham Real Madrid · 0.85 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Real Madrid Barcelona

Shots: 23; 15
On target: 10; 6
Inside the box: 17; 6
xG per shot: 0.16; 0.08
Open play xG: 1.50; 0.91
Set-piece xG: 1.46; 0.24
Penalties: 1; 0

Real Madrid's shots add up to 3.78 xG and Barcelona's to 1.15; the published figures are 3.63 and 1.03.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

38 shots · 4.93 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Real Madrid
Barcelona
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Real Madrid

2.28 xG created 1.43 xGA

W 2.42 created, 2.23 conceded against Real Sociedad
W 1.18 created, 0.96 conceded against Espanyol
W 3.94 created, 1.60 conceded against Levante UD
L 0.66 created, 2.34 conceded against Atlético Madrid
W 3.52 created, 1.00 conceded against Villarreal
W 1.96 created, 0.48 conceded against Getafe

Barcelona

2.24 xG created 1.14 xGA

W 3.35 created, 0.18 conceded against Valencia
W 1.97 created, 0.27 conceded against Getafe
W 2.07 created, 1.04 conceded against Real Oviedo
W 2.21 created, 0.97 conceded against Real Sociedad
L 2.25 created, 2.80 conceded against Sevilla
W 1.61 created, 1.55 conceded against Girona FC

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.