xgEdge

Tuesday, 19/08/2025 at 21:00

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Match report · La Liga

Real Madrid 1:0 Osasuna

Real Madrid Home 1.64 xG · 18 shots
Osasuna Away 0.36 xG · 2 shots
10 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 51' Kylian Mbappé (pen.) Real Madrid · 0.82 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Real Madrid Osasuna
Shots
18
2
On target
5
0
Inside the box
11
2
xG per shot
0.10
0.19
Open play xG
0.73
0.06
Set-piece xG
0.16
0.32
Penalties
1
0

Real Madrid's shots add up to 1.71 xG and Osasuna's to 0.38; the published figures are 1.64 and 0.36.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Real Madrid · Kylian Mbappé · 51' · Goal · 12 m · 0.82 xG Osasuna · Ante Budimir · 85' · No goal · 4 m · 0.32 xG Real Madrid · Aurélien Tchouaméni · 57' · No goal · 11 m · 0.14 xG Real Madrid · Kylian Mbappé · 25' · No goal · 13 m · 0.13 xG Real Madrid · Aurélien Tchouaméni · 74' · No goal · 7 m · 0.11 xG Real Madrid · Franco Mastantuono · 89' · No goal · 3 m · 0.09 xG Osasuna · Ante Budimir · 40' · No goal · 16 m · 0.06 xG Real Madrid · Kylian Mbappé · 22' · No goal · 10 m · 0.05 xG Real Madrid · Álvaro Carreras · 7' · No goal · 22 m · 0.04 xG Real Madrid · Kylian Mbappé · 34' · No goal · 13 m · 0.04 xG Real Madrid · Vinícius Júnior · 38' · No goal · 12 m · 0.04 xG Real Madrid · Dean Huijsen · 43' · No goal · 26 m · 0.04 xG Real Madrid · Kylian Mbappé · 72' · No goal · 10 m · 0.04 xG Real Madrid · Kylian Mbappé · 45' · No goal · 5 m · 0.03 xG Real Madrid · Arda Güler · 63' · No goal · 24 m · 0.03 xG Real Madrid · Aurélien Tchouaméni · 73' · No goal · 8 m · 0.03 xG Real Madrid · Dean Huijsen · 18' · No goal · 31 m · 0.02 xG Real Madrid · Éder Militão · 26' · No goal · 35 m · 0.02 xG Real Madrid · Álvaro Carreras · 43' · No goal · 21 m · 0.02 xG Real Madrid · Federico Valverde · 58' · No goal · 25 m · 0.02 xG

All shots

20 shots · 2.09 xG

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  • Real Madrid
  • Osasuna
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

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Real Madrid

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Osasuna

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Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.