Real Oviedo 0:1 Atlético Madrid: xG & match report · La Liga

Saturday, 28/02/2026 at 21:00

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Match report · La Liga

Real Oviedo Home 1.10 xG · 16 shots

Atlético Madrid Away 0.97 xG · 12 shots

01 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

90' Julián Alvarez Atlético Madrid · 0.35 xG chance 0–1

The shots behind it

Real Oviedo Atlético Madrid

Shots: 16; 12
On target: 6; 1
Inside the box: 11; 5
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.08
Open play xG: 0.67; 0.87
Set-piece xG: 0.44; 0.08
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.10 for Real Oviedo and 0.97 for Atlético Madrid.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

28 shots · 2.06 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Real Oviedo
Atlético Madrid
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Real Oviedo

1.07 xG created 1.62 xGA

D 1.24 created, 2.24 conceded against Real Betis
L 1.34 created, 1.37 conceded against Osasuna
L 0.46 created, 2.32 conceded against Barcelona
W 1.34 created, 0.61 conceded against Girona FC
L 0.36 created, 1.20 conceded against Athletic Club
D 1.68 created, 2.00 conceded against Real Sociedad

Atlético Madrid

1.44 xG created 0.87 xGA

W 1.63 created, 0.85 conceded against Deportivo Alavés
W 1.48 created, 0.46 conceded against Mallorca
D 0.90 created, 0.37 conceded against Levante UD
L 0.66 created, 0.94 conceded against Real Betis
L 1.10 created, 1.56 conceded against Rayo Vallecano
W 2.89 created, 1.06 conceded against Espanyol

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Real Oviedo: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Atlético Madrid 2:0 Real Oviedo 29/11/2025 xG 1.93 – 0.93

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.