Valencia 1:2 Real Oviedo: xG & match report · La Liga

Tuesday, 30/09/2025 at 20:00

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Match report · La Liga

Valencia Home 1.51 xG · 16 shots

Real Oviedo Away 0.77 xG · 10 shots

12 The result went against the chances

Goals

4' Arnaut Danjuma Valencia · 0.11 xG chance 1–0
85' Luka Ilić Real Oviedo · 0.21 xG chance 1–1
86' Salomón Rondón Real Oviedo · 0.24 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Valencia Real Oviedo

Shots: 16; 10
On target: 5; 4
Inside the box: 12; 5
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.08
Open play xG: 0.71; 0.54
Set-piece xG: 0.02; 0.29
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.72 for Valencia and 0.80 for Real Oviedo.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

26 shots · 2.38 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Valencia
Real Oviedo
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Valencia

1.06 xG created 1.44 xGA

D 2.04 created, 0.81 conceded against Real Sociedad
L 0.41 created, 0.83 conceded against Osasuna
W 1.13 created, 0.66 conceded against Getafe
L 0.18 created, 3.35 conceded against Barcelona
W 1.88 created, 0.49 conceded against Athletic Club
D 0.74 created, 2.50 conceded against Espanyol

Real Oviedo

0.75 xG created 1.78 xGA

L 0.94 created, 2.54 conceded against Villarreal
L 0.50 created, 2.67 conceded against Real Madrid
W 0.45 created, 1.10 conceded against Real Sociedad
L 0.46 created, 0.75 conceded against Getafe
L 1.09 created, 1.55 conceded against Elche
L 1.04 created, 2.07 conceded against Barcelona

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.