Villarreal 1:0 Athletic Club: xG & match report · La Liga

Saturday, 27/09/2025 at 21:00

Full time

Match report · La Liga

Villarreal Home 1.22 xG · 14 shots

Athletic Club Away 1.44 xG · 16 shots

10 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

77' Alberto Moleiro Villarreal · 0.14 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Villarreal Athletic Club

Shots: 14; 16
On target: 5; 4
Inside the box: 10; 10
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.10
Open play xG: 1.16; 0.64
Set-piece xG: 0.11; 0.89
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.23 for Villarreal and 1.51 for Athletic Club.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

30 shots · 2.80 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Villarreal
Athletic Club
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Villarreal

1.91 xG created 0.95 xGA

W 2.54 created, 0.94 conceded against Real Oviedo
W 2.30 created, 0.14 conceded against Girona FC
D 1.15 created, 0.68 conceded against Celta Vigo
L 0.97 created, 1.17 conceded against Atlético Madrid
W 2.55 created, 1.80 conceded against Osasuna
W 1.95 created, 0.97 conceded against Sevilla

Athletic Club

1.42 xG created 0.76 xGA

W 2.89 created, 1.01 conceded against Sevilla
W 1.51 created, 0.29 conceded against Rayo Vallecano
W 1.11 created, 0.62 conceded against Real Betis
L 1.08 created, 0.09 conceded against Deportivo Alavés
L 0.49 created, 1.88 conceded against Valencia
D 1.41 created, 0.68 conceded against Girona FC

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.