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Fixtures

Casa Pia fixtures 2026/2027

Casa Pia · Liga Portugal 2026/2027 →

What Casa Pia have left to play in Liga Portugal 2026/2027, soonest first. Open a match for the projection behind it and the prices standing against it.

Fixture outlook

27 matches ahead in Liga Portugal

Run difficulty 3.5 of 5 Difficult
Projected xG / match 0.97
Projected xGA / match 1.32
Projected xPts 29.3 / 81

Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.

What the fixtures say

The run of 27 matches ahead of Casa Pia in Liga Portugal rates 3.5 of 5 for difficulty, which the scale calls Difficult. 1 of them rates easier than balanced, and 12 of them rate harder than balanced. The model expects 0.97 projected xG a match from them and 29.3 of the 81 points the priced fixtures could return. The hardest of them is Benfica away, banded 5 of 5 — Very difficult, against an attack rated 87/99 and a defence rated 71/99. Worth reading those figures against: the fit behind at least one of these fixtures is drawn from a thin sample of played matches.

The run at a glance

One cell per fixture in the run, soonest first, with its difficulty band under the opponent: 1 is the most favourable and 5 the least. An empty slot is a fixture with no band, and the cell says why.

The first 10 of the 27 matches in this run. The list below carries every one of them.

Kindest fixture

Rio Ave home Sun 18/04

2 Favourable Opponent: attack 29/99, defence 24/99

Projected xG 1.34 – 0.91 Casa Pia win 45%

Toughest fixture

Benfica away Sun 24/01

5 Very difficult Opponent: attack 87/99, defence 71/99

Projected xG 0.70 – 2.16 Casa Pia win 8%

  • Open the match page for Santa Clara

    Sat 10/10 Home Santa Clara Liga Portugal

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 45/99, defence 76/99
    Projected xG 0.81 – 1.12 Projected xPts 1.06
  • Open the match page for CF Estrela Amadora

    Sat 24/10 Away CF Estrela Amadora Liga Portugal

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 49/99, defence 38/99
    Projected xG 0.96 – 1.44 Projected xPts 0.98
  • Open the match page for Sporting

    Fri 30/10 Home Sporting Liga Portugal

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 73/99, defence 74/99
    Projected xG 0.84 – 1.47 Projected xPts 0.86
  • Open the match page for FC Alverca

    Sat 07/11 Away FC Alverca Liga Portugal

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 50/99, defence 40/99
    Projected xG 0.94 – 1.46 Projected xPts 0.95
  • Open the match page for Sporting Braga

    Mon 30/11 Home Sporting Braga Liga Portugal

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 44/99, defence 72/99
    Projected xG 0.86 – 1.10 Projected xPts 1.12
  • Open the match page for Rio Ave

    Sun 06/12 Away Rio Ave Liga Portugal

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 29/99, defence 24/99
    Projected xG 1.08 – 1.13 Projected xPts 1.29
  • Open the match page for CD Nacional

    Sun 13/12 Home CD Nacional Liga Portugal

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 45/99, defence 30/99
    Projected xG 1.27 – 1.11 Projected xPts 1.46
  • Open the match page for FC Arouca

    Sun 20/12 Away FC Arouca Liga Portugal

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 53/99, defence 39/99
    Projected xG 0.95 – 1.50 Projected xPts 0.93
  • Open the match page for Famalicão

    Sun 27/12 Home Famalicão Liga Portugal

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 40/99, defence 63/99
    Projected xG 0.95 – 1.06 Projected xPts 1.23
  • Open the match page for Académico Viseu FC

    Sun 10/01 Away Académico Viseu FC Liga Portugal

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 57/99, defence 35/99
    Projected xG 0.99 – 1.57 Projected xPts 0.92
  • Open the match page for Marítimo

    Sun 17/01 Home Marítimo Liga Portugal

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 36/99, defence 44/99
    Projected xG 1.13 – 1.01 Projected xPts 1.43
  • Open the match page for Benfica

    Sun 24/01 Away Benfica Liga Portugal

    5 Very difficult Opponent: attack 87/99, defence 71/99
    Projected xG 0.70 – 2.16 Projected xPts 0.45
  • Open the match page for Gil Vicente

    Sun 31/01 Home Gil Vicente Liga Portugal

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 46/99, defence 61/99
    Projected xG 0.97 – 1.13 Projected xPts 1.20
  • Open the match page for Moreirense

    Sun 07/02 Away Moreirense Liga Portugal

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 23/99, defence 33/99
    Projected xG 1.00 – 1.01 Projected xPts 1.31
  • Open the match page for Vitória SC

    Sun 14/02 Home Vitória SC Liga Portugal

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 69/99, defence 66/99
    Projected xG 0.92 – 1.41 Projected xPts 0.96
  • Open the match page for FC Porto

    Sun 21/02 Away FC Porto Liga Portugal

    5 Very difficult Opponent: attack 72/99, defence 68/99
    Projected xG 0.73 – 1.81 Projected xPts 0.60
  • Open the match page for Estoril Praia

    Sun 28/02 Home Estoril Praia Liga Portugal

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 37/99, defence 30/99
    Projected xG 1.27 – 1.02 Projected xPts 1.53
  • Open the match page for Santa Clara

    Sun 07/03 Away Santa Clara Liga Portugal

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 45/99, defence 76/99
    Projected xG 0.65 – 1.39 Projected xPts 0.75
  • Open the match page for CF Estrela Amadora

    Sun 14/03 Home CF Estrela Amadora Liga Portugal

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 49/99, defence 38/99
    Projected xG 1.19 – 1.16 Projected xPts 1.36
  • Open the match page for Sporting

    Sun 21/03 Away Sporting Liga Portugal

    5 Very difficult Opponent: attack 73/99, defence 74/99
    Projected xG 0.68 – 1.83 Projected xPts 0.56
  • Open the match page for FC Alverca

    Sun 04/04 Home FC Alverca Liga Portugal

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 50/99, defence 40/99
    Projected xG 1.17 – 1.17 Projected xPts 1.33
  • Open the match page for Sporting Braga

    Sun 11/04 Away Sporting Braga Liga Portugal

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 44/99, defence 72/99
    Projected xG 0.69 – 1.37 Projected xPts 0.80
  • Open the match page for Rio Ave

    Sun 18/04 Home Rio Ave Liga Portugal

    2 Favourable Opponent: attack 29/99, defence 24/99
    Projected xG 1.34 – 0.91 Projected xPts 1.68
  • Open the match page for CD Nacional

    Sun 25/04 Away CD Nacional Liga Portugal

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 45/99, defence 30/99
    Projected xG 1.02 – 1.38 Projected xPts 1.06
  • Open the match page for FC Arouca

    Sun 02/05 Home FC Arouca Liga Portugal

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 53/99, defence 39/99
    Projected xG 1.18 – 1.21 Projected xPts 1.32
  • Open the match page for Famalicão

    Sun 09/05 Away Famalicão Liga Portugal

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 40/99, defence 63/99
    Projected xG 0.77 – 1.32 Projected xPts 0.89
  • Open the match page for Académico Viseu FC

    Sun 16/05 Home Académico Viseu FC Liga Portugal

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 57/99, defence 35/99
    Projected xG 1.22 – 1.26 Projected xPts 1.31

The band is how hard the model rates each match, from 1 (easiest) to 5 (hardest). Opponent attack and defence use the same 1–99 scale as Team Strength, where 50 is the average side in Liga Portugal.

Fixture difficulty in Liga Portugal

Reads each matchup for Casa Pia: the band is cut from the model's chances of Casa Pia winning and losing the match, so Casa Pia's own strength and home advantage are in it.

3.5 Casa Pia's run 3.0 the competition's average

Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.

Upcoming opponent strength

number 2 hardest of 18 in Liga Portugal

+0.14 xG vs league average

Over 5 upcoming league fixtures

Reads the opponents alone, whoever plays them: each one's fitted xG margin against Liga Portugal's average club, with no venue and nothing of Casa Pia's own strength in it.

Opponents behind the figure

Upcoming

+0.14 xG vs league average · over 5 fixtures · number 2 hardest of 18

  1. Santa Clara Home +0.22
  2. CF Estrela Amadora Away −0.13
  3. Sporting Home +0.55
  4. FC Alverca Away −0.10
  5. Sporting Braga Home +0.15

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

About these numbers

What is published, what is worked out, and what is the model's

Published by the fixtures feed and stored as it arrives: the kickoff time, the two clubs, the competition, and whether a match is still scheduled.

Worked out here from stored figures: each opponent's attack and defence on a 1–99 scale, where 50 is the average side in Liga Portugal and a higher score is a stronger side at both ends; the difficulty band, cut from the model's chances of winning and losing each fixture; and everything the outlook, the strip and the fixture difficulty block add up from the rows — the run's mean band, its averages and totals, the counts they were taken over, the placings and the competition's average.

Worked out here from the model's ratings alone: the Upcoming opponent strength block, the mean of the next 5 opponents' fitted xG margins against the league's average club, whoever plays them, and its rank among the competition's clubs.

The model's output, for matches nobody has played yet: projected xG and xGA, the chances of a win, a draw and a loss, and xPts.

Projected xG is what the model expects a side to create in a match still to come. It is not the xG on the Results page, which measures the chances a side actually had.

xPts is what those three chances are worth in points: 3 times the chance of a win plus the chance of a draw, so 3 is the most a single fixture can be worth.

The difficulty band runs from 1, the most favourable fixture, to 5, the least favourable — so the lower a run's difficulty, the kinder the run.

How the model and every figure here are made →

How the model works →

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