xgEdge

Saturday, 20/09/2025 at 16:30

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Match report · Liga Portugal

CD Nacional 1:2 FC Arouca

CD Nacional Home 2.47 xG
FC Arouca Away 1.10 xG
12 The result went against the chances

The shots behind it

CD Nacional FC Arouca
Shots
15
10
On target
6
3
Inside the box
7
5
xG per shot
0.16
0.11

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
CD Nacional

0.77 xG created 1.48 xGA

  • L 0.85 created, 0.65 conceded against Gil Vicente
  • D 0.98 created, 1.52 conceded against Rio Ave
  • L 0.72 created, 2.67 conceded against Sporting
  • W 1.24 created, 0.66 conceded against Casa Pia
  • L 0.08 created, 1.88 conceded against FC Porto
FC Arouca

0.56 xG created 1.47 xGA

  • W 1.15 created, 1.12 conceded against AVS - Futebol SAD
  • L 0.22 created, 2.86 conceded against Sporting
  • D 0.70 created, 1.57 conceded against Rio Ave
  • D 0.44 created, 0.33 conceded against Vitória SC
  • L 0.27 created, 1.49 conceded against Casa Pia

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.