Famalicão 1:0 CD Nacional: xG & match report · Liga Portugal

Saturday, 21/03/2026 at 16:30

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Match report · Liga Portugal

Famalicão Home 1.74 xG

CD Nacional Away 0.43 xG

10 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

Famalicão CD Nacional

Shots: 14; 9
On target: 4; 6
Inside the box: 9; 3
xG per shot: 0.12; 0.05

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Famalicão

1.16 xG created 0.88 xGA

W 2.18 created, 0.49 conceded against AVS - Futebol SAD
L 0.49 created, 2.15 conceded against Sporting
W 0.97 created, 0.27 conceded against Casa Pia
D 0.85 created, 1.01 conceded against Rio Ave
W 0.97 created, 0.89 conceded against FC Arouca
W 1.47 created, 0.47 conceded against Vitória SC

CD Nacional

0.96 xG created 1.26 xGA

D 0.98 created, 0.64 conceded against Casa Pia
L 0.65 created, 0.45 conceded against FC Porto
L 0.99 created, 1.92 conceded against FC Arouca
L 0.96 created, 2.48 conceded against Sporting Braga
D 1.35 created, 0.94 conceded against Moreirense
L 0.80 created, 1.12 conceded against Estoril Praia

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Famalicão: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

CD Nacional 0:1 Famalicão 01/11/2025 xG 0.46 – 1.53

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.