Rio Ave 1:2 Moreirense: xG & match report · Liga Portugal

Monday, 16/02/2026 at 21:15

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Match report · Liga Portugal

Rio Ave Home 1.25 xG

Moreirense Away 0.45 xG

12 The result went against the chances

The shots behind it

Rio Ave Moreirense

Shots: 18; 6
On target: 6; 3
Inside the box: 10; 3
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.08

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Rio Ave

0.66 xG created 2.22 xGA

L 0.11 created, 3.26 conceded against Sporting
W 2.38 created, 1.84 conceded against Casa Pia
L 0.19 created, 2.48 conceded against Benfica
L 0.47 created, 1.53 conceded against CD Nacional
L 0.69 created, 1.47 conceded against FC Arouca
L 0.13 created, 2.74 conceded against Sporting Braga

Moreirense

0.80 xG created 1.24 xGA

W 1.91 created, 0.36 conceded against AVS - Futebol SAD
W 0.42 created, 0.50 conceded against Tondela
L 1.41 created, 2.41 conceded against FC Alverca
W 0.15 created, 0.21 conceded against Santa Clara
L 0.77 created, 1.51 conceded against Vitória SC
L 0.12 created, 2.46 conceded against Gil Vicente

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Rio Ave: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Moreirense 3:1 Rio Ave 13/09/2025 xG 1.96 – 1.33

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.