Lorient 3:1 AS Monaco: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Saturday, 27/09/2025 at 17:00

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

Lorient Home 1.98 xG · 19 shots

AS Monaco Away 0.92 xG · 5 shots

31 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

40' Mohamed Bamba Lorient · 0.20 xG chance 1–0
76' Pablo Pagis Lorient · 0.14 xG chance 2–0
82' Pablo Pagis Lorient · 0.05 xG chance 3–0
90' Ansu Fati (pen.) AS Monaco · 0.82 xG chance 3–1

The shots behind it

Lorient AS Monaco

Shots: 19; 5
On target: 8; 2
Inside the box: 12; 2
xG per shot: 0.11; 0.20
Open play xG: 1.75; 0.18
Set-piece xG: 0.25; 0.00
Penalties: 0; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.98 for Lorient and 0.17 for AS Monaco.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

24 shots · 3.00 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Lorient
AS Monaco
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Lorient

1.45 xG created 1.95 xGA

L 1.37 created, 1.44 conceded against Auxerre
W 3.04 created, 0.08 conceded against Stade Rennais
L 1.50 created, 3.49 conceded against Lille
L 0.14 created, 2.26 conceded against Olympique de Marseille
D 1.21 created, 2.47 conceded against Le Havre

AS Monaco

1.97 xG created 1.59 xGA

W 1.76 created, 0.60 conceded against Le Havre
L 1.25 created, 2.92 conceded against Lille
W 1.94 created, 1.62 conceded against RC Strasbourg
W 1.42 created, 0.67 conceded against Auxerre
W 3.50 created, 2.16 conceded against Metz

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.