Nantes 2:2 Stade Rennais: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Saturday, 20/09/2025 at 17:00

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Match report · Ligue 1

Nantes Home 2.11 xG · 16 shots

Stade Rennais Away 1.37 xG · 8 shots

22 Nantes had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

29' Ludovic Blas (pen.) Stade Rennais · 0.82 xG chance 0–1
35' Esteban Lepaul Stade Rennais · 0.34 xG chance 0–2
64' Junior Mwanga Nantes · 0.25 xG chance 1–2
90' Youssef El Arabi Nantes · 0.13 xG chance 2–2

The shots behind it

Nantes Stade Rennais

Shots: 16; 8
On target: 4; 4
Inside the box: 10; 5
xG per shot: 0.13; 0.18
Open play xG: 0.62; 0.53
Set-piece xG: 0.70; 0.06
Penalties: 1; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.32 for Nantes and 0.59 for Stade Rennais.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

24 shots · 3.55 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Nantes
Stade Rennais
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Nantes

0.45 xG created 1.41 xGA

L 0.14 created, 1.43 conceded against Paris Saint-Germain
L 0.44 created, 1.78 conceded against RC Strasbourg
W 0.48 created, 0.68 conceded against Auxerre
L 0.75 created, 1.75 conceded against Nice

Stade Rennais

1.28 xG created 1.94 xGA

W 1.39 created, 1.79 conceded against Olympique de Marseille
L 0.08 created, 3.04 conceded against Lorient
D 1.46 created, 1.23 conceded against Angers
W 2.19 created, 1.71 conceded against Olympique Lyonnais

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.