xgEdge

Saturday, 16/08/2025 at 21:05

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Match report · Ligue 1

Nice 0:1 Toulouse

Nice Home 0.79 xG · 13 shots
Toulouse Away 0.61 xG · 10 shots
01 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

  1. 89' Djibril Sidibé Toulouse · 0.08 xG chance 0–1

The shots behind it

Nice Toulouse
Shots
13
10
On target
2
2
Inside the box
4
7
xG per shot
0.06
0.06
Open play xG
0.41
0.47
Set-piece xG
0.36
0.10
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.79 for Nice and 0.61 for Toulouse.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Nice · Antoine Mendy · 56' · No goal · 6 m · 0.20 xG Nice · Sofiane Diop · 90' · No goal · 12 m · 0.20 xG Toulouse · Frank Magri · 19' · No goal · 8 m · 0.11 xG Toulouse · Djibril Sidibé · 89' · Goal · 6 m · 0.08 xG Toulouse · Charlie Cresswell · 48' · No goal · 9 m · 0.07 xG Toulouse · Jaydee Canvot · 53' · No goal · 10 m · 0.07 xG Toulouse · Yann Gboho · 72' · No goal · 14 m · 0.07 xG Toulouse · Yann Gboho · 45' · No goal · 11 m · 0.06 xG Toulouse · Jaydee Canvot · 45' · No goal · 21 m · 0.06 xG Nice · Badredine Bouanani · 50' · No goal · 13 m · 0.06 xG Nice · Jérémie Boga · 85' · No goal · 23 m · 0.05 xG Nice · Hicham Boudaoui · 11' · No goal · 25 m · 0.04 xG Nice · Hicham Boudaoui · 56' · No goal · 19 m · 0.04 xG Nice · Jonathan Clauss · 45' · No goal · 16 m · 0.03 xG Nice · Tom Louchet · 56' · No goal · 17 m · 0.03 xG Nice · Jonathan Clauss · 62' · No goal · 31 m · 0.03 xG Nice · Sofiane Diop · 87' · No goal · 20 m · 0.03 xG Toulouse · Aron Dønnum · 29' · No goal · 24 m · 0.02 xG Nice · Tom Louchet · 56' · No goal · 18 m · 0.02 xG Nice · Melvin Bard · 57' · No goal · 26 m · 0.02 xG Toulouse · Alexis Vossah · 75' · No goal · 24 m · 0.02 xG Nice · Melvin Bard · 78' · No goal · 28 m · 0.02 xG Toulouse · Frank Magri · 74' · No goal · 9 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

23 shots · 1.34 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Nice
  • Toulouse
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

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Nice

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Toulouse

No match with expected goals behind it yet.

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.