RC Lens 3:1 Stade Brestois: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Friday, 29/08/2025 at 20:45

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Match report · Ligue 1

RC Lens Home 3.99 xG · 30 shots

Stade Brestois Away 1.08 xG · 9 shots

31 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

24' Mama Baldé Stade Brestois · 0.52 xG chance 0–1
60' Florian Thauvin (pen.) RC Lens · 0.82 xG chance 1–1
78' Morgan Guilavogui RC Lens · 0.14 xG chance 2–1
90' Adrien Thomasson RC Lens · 0.32 xG chance 3–1

The shots behind it

RC Lens Stade Brestois

Shots: 30; 9
On target: 10; 2
Inside the box: 26; 7
xG per shot: 0.14; 0.12
Open play xG: 2.00; 1.00
Set-piece xG: 1.25; 0.10
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 3.20 for RC Lens and 1.08 for Stade Brestois.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

39 shots · 5.17 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

RC Lens
Stade Brestois
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

RC Lens

1.23 xG created 1.65 xGA

L 1.38 created, 1.41 conceded against Olympique Lyonnais
W 1.07 created, 1.89 conceded against Le Havre

Stade Brestois

1.49 xG created 1.45 xGA

D 2.01 created, 1.62 conceded against Lille
L 0.97 created, 1.28 conceded against Toulouse

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.