Stade Rennais 3:1 Stade Brestois: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Saturday, 13/12/2025 at 17:00

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

Stade Rennais Home 2.23 xG · 9 shots

Stade Brestois Away 0.82 xG · 14 shots

31 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

13' Mama Baldé Stade Brestois · 0.17 xG chance 0–1
24' Esteban Lepaul Stade Rennais · 0.91 xG chance 1–1
25' Mousa Tamari Stade Rennais · 0.48 xG chance 2–1
87' Mohamed Kader Meite Stade Rennais · 0.25 xG chance 3–1

The shots behind it

Stade Rennais Stade Brestois

Shots: 9; 14
On target: 5; 7
Inside the box: 6; 9
xG per shot: 0.24; 0.06
Open play xG: 2.08; 0.73
Set-piece xG: 0.09; 0.10
Penalties: —; —

Stade Rennais's shots add up to 2.17 xG and Stade Brestois's to 0.83; the published figures are 2.23 and 0.82.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

23 shots · 3.00 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Stade Rennais
Stade Brestois
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Stade Rennais

1.57 xG created 1.62 xGA

D 1.58 created, 1.55 conceded against Toulouse
W 2.35 created, 1.60 conceded against RC Strasbourg
W 0.75 created, 1.98 conceded against Paris FC
W 3.69 created, 1.33 conceded against AS Monaco
W 0.78 created, 1.02 conceded against Metz
L 0.24 created, 2.23 conceded against Paris Saint-Germain

Stade Brestois

1.41 xG created 1.19 xGA

L 0.55 created, 1.01 conceded against Le Havre
D 1.49 created, 0.20 conceded against Olympique Lyonnais
L 0.74 created, 3.46 conceded against Olympique de Marseille
W 3.11 created, 1.05 conceded against Metz
W 1.05 created, 0.80 conceded against RC Strasbourg
W 1.53 created, 0.60 conceded against AS Monaco

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.