Goals against expected goals, competition by competition
The club finishing furthest above its chances in each competition the model follows. It is the figure most likely to turn round, which is why it is worth knowing who is carrying it. Open a competition for the whole table.
30 competitions.
| # | Competition | Team | G−xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swiss Super League 2026/2027 | FC Lugano | +11.74 |
| 2 | Eliteserien 2026/2027 | Viking FK | +10.06 |
| 3 | Superliga (Denmark) 2026/2027 | FC København | +8.39 |
| 4 | Premier Division (Ireland) 2026/2027 | Derry City | +7.10 |
| 5 | Jupiler Pro League 2026/2027 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | +6.38 |
| 6 | Eredivisie 2026/2027 | Fortuna Sittard | +6.23 |
| 7 | Liga Portugal 2026/2027 | Benfica | +5.78 |
| 8 | Czech First League 2026/2027 | Mladá Boleslav | +5.44 |
| 9 | HNL 2026/2027 | NK Rudeš | +5.24 |
| 10 | Süper Lig 2026/2027 | Çorum FK | +5.19 |
| 11 | Austrian Bundesliga 2026/2027 | SK Rapid Wien | +5.16 |
| 12 | Ekstraklasa 2026/2027 | Piast Gliwice | +5.04 |
| 13 | Allsvenskan 2026/2027 | IK Sirius | +4.51 |
| 14 | Niké Liga (Slovakia) 2026/2027 | DAC 1904 | +4.48 |
| 15 | Premier League 2026/2027 | Brighton & Hove Albion | +4.43 |
| 16 | PrvaLiga (Slovenia) 2026/2027 | NK Maribor | +4.22 |
| 17 | Bundesliga 2026/2027 | FC Augsburg | +4.12 |
| 18 | Cypriot First Division 2026/2027 | APOEL Nicosia | +4.11 |
| 19 | La Liga 2026/2027 | Atlético Madrid | +3.98 |
| 20 | Ligue 1 2026/2027 | RC Strasbourg | +3.78 |
| 21 | Ukrainian Premier League 2026/2027 | Shakhtar Donetsk | +3.71 |
| 22 | Super League Greece 2026/2027 | Panetolikos | +3.54 |
| 23 | Scottish Premiership 2026/2027 | Heart of Midlothian | +2.67 |
| 24 | Parva Liga (Bulgaria) 2026/2027 | Levski Sofia | +2.16 |
| 25 | Serie A 2026/2027 | Milan | +2.09 |
| 26 | NB I (Hungary) 2026/2027 | Vasas | +0.95 |
| 27 | SuperLiga (Serbia) 2026/2027 | FK Radnik Surdulica | +0.67 |
| 28 | Russian Premier League 2026/2027 | Rubin Kazan | +0.21 |
| 29 | SuperLiga (Romania) 2026/2027 | CFR 1907 Cluj | +0.05 |
| 30 | Veikkausliiga 2026/2027 | Ilves | −0.66 |
One row per competition, because expected goals are summed against a competition's own baseline: forty in the Eredivisie and forty in the Premier League are not the same forty. Open a competition to rank the clubs inside it, which is the one comparison these figures support.
Every club, not just each league's leader →
Expected goals measure the chances a club created and conceded rather than what was scored. Every figure here was summed by the ingest from this competition's own matches — nothing on this page is fitted while you read it.
Every competition → How the model works →