xgEdge

What Ludogorets have left to play in Parva Liga (Bulgaria) 2026/2027, soonest first. Open a match for the projection behind it and the prices standing against it.

Fixture outlook

2 matches ahead in Parva Liga (Bulgaria)

Run difficulty From 2 of 2 matches — fewer than the 3 a figure is printed from
Projected xG / match From 2 of 2 matches — fewer than the 3 a figure is printed from
Projected xGA / match From 2 of 2 matches — fewer than the 3 a figure is printed from
Projected xPts From 2 of 2 matches — fewer than the 3 a figure is printed from

Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.

The run at a glance

One cell per fixture in the run, soonest first, with its difficulty band under the opponent: 1 is the most favourable and 5 the least. An empty slot is a fixture with no band, and the cell says why.

Parva Liga (Bulgaria) publishes only its next few rounds, so the list stops here. The rest of the season is added as the league schedules it.

Parva Liga (Bulgaria) ends in play-offs, and their fixtures are set once the regular season's table decides who plays whom.

The band is how hard the model rates each match, from 1 (easiest) to 5 (hardest). Opponent attack and defence use the same 1–99 scale as Team Strength, where 50 is the average side in Parva Liga (Bulgaria).

Next 2 opponents

+0.35 xG vs league average

League rank unavailable. Only 2 upcoming league fixtures are currently scheduled.

Reads the opponents alone, whoever plays them: each one's fitted xG margin against Parva Liga (Bulgaria)'s average club, with no venue and nothing of Ludogorets's own strength in it.

Opponents behind the figure

Next 2

+0.35 xG vs league average · over 2 fixtures

  1. Arda Kardzhali Home +0.15
  2. CSKA Sofia Away +0.55

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

About these numbers

What is published, what is worked out, and what is the model's

Published by the fixtures feed and stored as it arrives: the kickoff time, the two clubs, the competition, and whether a match is still scheduled.

Worked out here from stored figures: each opponent's attack and defence on a 1–99 scale, where 50 is the average side in Parva Liga (Bulgaria) and a higher score is a stronger side at both ends; the difficulty band, cut from the model's chances of winning and losing each fixture; and everything the outlook, the strip and the fixture difficulty block add up from the rows — the run's mean band, its averages and totals, the counts they were taken over, the placings and the competition's average.

Worked out here from the model's ratings alone: the Upcoming opponent strength block, the mean of the next 5 opponents' fitted xG margins against the league's average club, whoever plays them, and its rank among the competition's clubs.

The model's output, for matches nobody has played yet: projected xG and xGA, the chances of a win, a draw and a loss, and xPts.

Projected xG is what the model expects a side to create in a match still to come. It is not the xG on the Results page, which measures the chances a side actually had.

xPts is what those three chances are worth in points: 3 times the chance of a win plus the chance of a draw, so 3 is the most a single fixture can be worth.

The difficulty band runs from 1, the most favourable fixture, to 5, the least favourable — so the lower a run's difficulty, the kinder the run.

How the model and every figure here are made →

How the model works →