What Bohemian FC have left to play in Premier Division (Ireland) 2026/2027, soonest first. Open a match for the projection behind it and the prices standing against it.
Fixture outlook
4 matches ahead in Premier Division (Ireland)
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
What the fixtures say
The run of 4 matches ahead of Bohemian FC in Premier Division (Ireland) rates 2.5 of 5 for difficulty, which the scale calls Balanced. 2 of them rate easier than balanced, and nothing in the run rates harder. The model expects 1.63 projected xG a match from them and 6.0 of the 12 points the priced fixtures could return. The hardest of them is St. Patrick's Athletic away, banded 3 of 5 — Balanced, against an attack rated 72/99 and a defence rated 74/99.
The run at a glance
Waterford FC home Fri 16/10
Projected xG 2.06 – 1.39 Bohemian FC win 52%
St. Patrick's Athletic away Fri 30/10
Projected xG 1.28 – 1.70 Bohemian FC win 26%
-
Open the match page for Shamrock Rovers
Fri 04/09 Away Shamrock Rovers Premier Division (Ireland)
Not priced yet, so there is no band for it Opponent: attack 53/99, defence 64/99 -
Open the match page for Dundalk FC
Fri 02/10 Away Dundalk FC Premier Division (Ireland)
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 62/99, defence 38/99Projected xG 1.78 – 1.58 Projected xPts 1.50- Dundalk FC
- 32%
- Draw
- 26%
- Bohemian FC
- 41%
-
Open the match page for Shamrock Rovers
Mon 12/10 Away Shamrock Rovers Premier Division (Ireland)
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 53/99, defence 64/99Projected xG 1.44 – 1.49 Projected xPts 1.32- Shamrock Rovers
- 37%
- Draw
- 29%
- Bohemian FC
- 34%
-
Open the match page for Waterford FC
Fri 16/10 Home Waterford FC Premier Division (Ireland)
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 67/99, defence 42/99Projected xG 2.06 – 1.39 Projected xPts 1.81- Bohemian FC
- 52%
- Draw
- 25%
- Waterford FC
- 23%
-
Open the match page for Shelbourne
Fri 23/10 Home Shelbourne Premier Division (Ireland)
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 45/99, defence 60/99Projected xG 1.76 – 1.18 Projected xPts 1.77- Bohemian FC
- 50%
- Draw
- 27%
- Shelbourne
- 23%
-
Open the match page for St. Patrick's Athletic
Fri 30/10 Away St. Patrick's Athletic Premier Division (Ireland)
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 72/99, defence 74/99Projected xG 1.28 – 1.70 Projected xPts 1.06- St. Patrick's Athletic
- 46%
- Draw
- 28%
- Bohemian FC
- 26%
Premier Division (Ireland) publishes only its next few rounds, so the list stops here. The rest of the season is added as the league schedules it.
The band is how hard the model rates each match, from 1 (easiest) to 5 (hardest). Opponent attack and defence use the same 1–99 scale as Team Strength, where 50 is the average side in Premier Division (Ireland).
Fixture difficulty in Premier Division (Ireland)
Reads each matchup for Bohemian FC: the band is cut from the model's chances of Bohemian FC winning and losing the match, so Bohemian FC's own strength and home advantage are in it.
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
Next 4 opponents
+0.23 xG vs league average
League rank unavailable. Only 4 upcoming league fixtures are currently scheduled.
Reads the opponents alone, whoever plays them: each one's fitted xG margin against Premier Division (Ireland)'s average club, with no venue and nothing of Bohemian FC's own strength in it.
Opponents behind the figure
Next 4
+0.23 xG vs league average · over 4 fixtures
- Shamrock Rovers Away +0.20
- Waterford FC Home +0.09
- Shelbourne Home +0.06
- St. Patrick's Athletic Away +0.56
About these numbers
What is published, what is worked out, and what is the model's
Published by the fixtures feed and stored as it arrives: the kickoff time, the two clubs, the competition, and whether a match is still scheduled.
Worked out here from stored figures: each opponent's attack and defence on a 1–99 scale, where 50 is the average side in Premier Division (Ireland) and a higher score is a stronger side at both ends; the difficulty band, cut from the model's chances of winning and losing each fixture; and everything the outlook, the strip and the fixture difficulty block add up from the rows — the run's mean band, its averages and totals, the counts they were taken over, the placings and the competition's average.
Worked out here from the model's ratings alone: the Upcoming opponent strength block, the mean of the next 5 opponents' fitted xG margins against the league's average club, whoever plays them, and its rank among the competition's clubs.
The model's output, for matches nobody has played yet: projected xG and xGA, the chances of a win, a draw and a loss, and xPts.
Projected xG is what the model expects a side to create in a match still to come. It is not the xG on the Results page, which measures the chances a side actually had.
xPts is what those three chances are worth in points: 3 times the chance of a win plus the chance of a draw, so 3 is the most a single fixture can be worth.
The difficulty band runs from 1, the most favourable fixture, to 5, the least favourable — so the lower a run's difficulty, the kinder the run.