Crystal Palace 3:3 Bournemouth: xG & match report · Premier League

Saturday, 18/10/2025 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Crystal Palace Home 4.44 xG · 20 shots

Bournemouth Away 2.03 xG · 8 shots

33 Crystal Palace had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

7' Eli Junior Kroupi Bournemouth · 0.99 xG chance 0–1
38' Eli Junior Kroupi Bournemouth · 0.23 xG chance 0–2
64' Jean-Philippe Mateta Crystal Palace · 0.43 xG chance 1–2
69' Jean-Philippe Mateta Crystal Palace · 0.70 xG chance 2–2
89' Ryan Christie Bournemouth · 0.66 xG chance 2–3
90' Jean-Philippe Mateta (pen.) Crystal Palace · 0.82 xG chance 3–3

The shots behind it

Crystal Palace Bournemouth

Shots: 20; 8
On target: 7; 5
Inside the box: 15; 5
xG per shot: 0.22; 0.26
Open play xG: 2.72; 1.10
Set-piece xG: 0.77; 1.01
Penalties: 1; 0

Crystal Palace's shots add up to 4.31 xG and Bournemouth's to 2.11; the published figures are 4.44 and 2.03.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

28 shots · 6.42 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Crystal Palace
Bournemouth
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Crystal Palace

2.05 xG created 1.21 xGA

D 1.10 created, 0.93 conceded against Nottingham Forest
W 2.65 created, 1.14 conceded against Aston Villa
D 1.77 created, 0.36 conceded against Sunderland
W 2.31 created, 0.66 conceded against West Ham United
W 2.92 created, 2.14 conceded against Liverpool
L 1.53 created, 2.03 conceded against Everton

Bournemouth

1.12 xG created 0.69 xGA

W 1.29 created, 0.46 conceded against Wolverhampton
W 1.59 created, 0.19 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
W 1.45 created, 0.62 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
D 0.46 created, 0.14 conceded against Newcastle United
D 0.82 created, 1.84 conceded against Leeds United
W 1.12 created, 0.88 conceded against Fulham

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.