xgEdge

Sunday, 31/08/2025 at 17:30

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Match report · Premier League

Liverpool 1:0 Arsenal

Liverpool Home 0.52 xG · 9 shots
Arsenal Away 0.49 xG · 11 shots
10 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

  1. 83' Dominik Szoboszlai Liverpool · 0.04 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Liverpool Arsenal
Shots
9
11
On target
3
1
Inside the box
4
8
xG per shot
0.06
0.05
Open play xG
0.45
0.32
Set-piece xG
0.08
0.18
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.53 for Liverpool and 0.49 for Arsenal.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Liverpool · Florian Wirtz · 60' · No goal · 12 m · 0.14 xG Liverpool · Federico Chiesa · 90' · No goal · 18 m · 0.13 xG Arsenal · Jurriën Timber · 39' · No goal · 13 m · 0.10 xG Arsenal · Noni Madueke · 36' · No goal · 9 m · 0.06 xG Arsenal · Max Dowman · 90' · No goal · 6 m · 0.06 xG Arsenal · Noni Madueke · 22' · No goal · 14 m · 0.05 xG Liverpool · Alexis Mac Allister · 34' · No goal · 16 m · 0.05 xG Arsenal · Riccardo Calafiori · 40' · No goal · 9 m · 0.05 xG Arsenal · Riccardo Calafiori · 63' · No goal · 18 m · 0.05 xG Liverpool · Mohamed Salah · 73' · No goal · 15 m · 0.05 xG Liverpool · Cody Gakpo · 13' · No goal · 21 m · 0.04 xG Liverpool · Florian Wirtz · 74' · No goal · 18 m · 0.04 xG Liverpool · Dominik Szoboszlai · 83' · Goal · 30 m · 0.04 xG Arsenal · Riccardo Calafiori · 39' · No goal · 13 m · 0.03 xG Arsenal · Noni Madueke · 64' · No goal · 14 m · 0.03 xG Arsenal · Martín Zubimendi · 90' · No goal · 12 m · 0.03 xG Arsenal · Declan Rice · 29' · No goal · 31 m · 0.02 xG Liverpool · Ryan Gravenberch · 52' · No goal · 28 m · 0.02 xG Arsenal · Gabriel Magalhães · 63' · No goal · 25 m · 0.02 xG Liverpool · Cody Gakpo · 66' · No goal · 16 m · 0.02 xG

All shots

20 shots · 1.03 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Liverpool
  • Arsenal
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Liverpool

1.45 xG created 1.34 xGA

  • W 2.21 created, 1.70 conceded against Bournemouth
  • W 0.69 created, 0.98 conceded against Newcastle United
Arsenal

2.09 xG created 0.85 xGA

  • W 1.31 created, 1.52 conceded against Manchester United
  • W 2.88 created, 0.17 conceded against Leeds United

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.