xgEdge

Sunday, 17/08/2025 at 15:00

Full time
Match report · Premier League

Nottingham Forest 3:1 Brentford

Nottingham Forest Home 1.86 xG · 11 shots
Brentford Away 1.50 xG · 10 shots
31 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 6' Chris Wood Nottingham Forest · 0.07 xG chance 1–0
  2. 42' Dan Ndoye Nottingham Forest · 0.10 xG chance 2–0
  3. 45' Chris Wood Nottingham Forest · 0.85 xG chance 3–0
  4. 78' Igor Thiago (pen.) Brentford · 0.82 xG chance 3–1

The shots behind it

Nottingham Forest Brentford
Shots
11
10
On target
5
3
Inside the box
6
7
xG per shot
0.17
0.15
Open play xG
1.77
0.45
Set-piece xG
0.07
0.24
Penalties
0
1
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.86 for Nottingham Forest and 0.71 for Brentford.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Nottingham Forest · Chris Wood · 45' · Goal · 4 m · 0.85 xG Brentford · Igor Thiago · 78' · Goal · 12 m · 0.82 xG Nottingham Forest · Elliot Anderson · 11' · No goal · 9 m · 0.32 xG Nottingham Forest · Morgan Gibbs-White · 63' · No goal · 8 m · 0.31 xG Brentford · Igor Thiago · 40' · No goal · 8 m · 0.12 xG Brentford · Mathias Jensen · 40' · No goal · 12 m · 0.12 xG Brentford · Sepp van den Berg · 73' · No goal · 7 m · 0.12 xG Nottingham Forest · Dan Ndoye · 42' · Goal · 9 m · 0.10 xG Brentford · Keane Lewis-Potter · 51' · No goal · 19 m · 0.10 xG Brentford · Yehor Yarmoliuk · 24' · No goal · 19 m · 0.08 xG Brentford · Sepp van den Berg · 75' · No goal · 9 m · 0.08 xG Nottingham Forest · Chris Wood · 6' · Goal · 9 m · 0.07 xG Nottingham Forest · Elliot Anderson · 11' · No goal · 16 m · 0.06 xG Nottingham Forest · Morgan Gibbs-White · 18' · No goal · 18 m · 0.04 xG Nottingham Forest · Morgan Gibbs-White · 65' · No goal · 24 m · 0.04 xG Brentford · Fabio Carvalho · 59' · No goal · 20 m · 0.03 xG Nottingham Forest · Elliot Anderson · 18' · No goal · 22 m · 0.02 xG Brentford · Nathan Collins · 26' · No goal · 7 m · 0.02 xG Brentford · Keane Lewis-Potter · 54' · No goal · 15 m · 0.02 xG Nottingham Forest · Callum Hudson Odoi · 61' · No goal · 27 m · 0.02 xG Nottingham Forest · Ibrahim Sangaré · 55' · No goal · 31 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

21 shots · 3.35 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Nottingham Forest
  • Brentford
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Nottingham Forest

No match with expected goals behind it yet.

Brentford

No match with expected goals behind it yet.

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.