What Fakel Voronezh have left to play in Russian Premier League 2026/2027, soonest first. Open a match for the projection behind it and the prices standing against it.
Fixture outlook
4 matches ahead in Russian Premier League
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
What the fixtures say
The run of 4 matches ahead of Fakel Voronezh in Russian Premier League rates 3.0 of 5 for difficulty, which the scale calls Balanced. Every fixture the model has banded in it rates even, so nothing in the run is kinder or harder than the middle of the scale. The model expects 1.51 projected xG a match from them and 5.8 of the 12 points the priced fixtures could return. The hardest of them is Rubin Kazan away, banded 3 of 5 — Balanced, against an attack rated 22/99 and a defence rated 53/99. Worth reading those figures against: the fit behind at least one of these fixtures is drawn from a thin sample of played matches.
The run at a glance
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Open the match page for Lokomotiv Moscow
Sat 10/10 Home Lokomotiv Moscow Russian Premier League
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 68/99, defence 42/99Projected xG 1.58 – 1.53 Projected xPts 1.39- Fakel Voronezh
- 37%
- Draw
- 28%
- Lokomotiv Moscow
- 35%
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Open the match page for Krylya Sovetov Samara
Sat 17/10 Away Krylya Sovetov Samara Russian Premier League
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 27/99, defence 33/99Projected xG 1.44 – 1.31 Projected xPts 1.44- Krylya Sovetov Samara
- 32%
- Draw
- 30%
- Fakel Voronezh
- 38%
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Open the match page for Rodina Moscow
Sat 24/10 Home Rodina Moscow Russian Premier League
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 57/99, defence 27/99Projected xG 1.78 – 1.42 Projected xPts 1.61- Fakel Voronezh
- 45%
- Draw
- 27%
- Rodina Moscow
- 28%
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Open the match page for Rubin Kazan
Sat 31/10 Away Rubin Kazan Russian Premier League
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 22/99, defence 53/99Projected xG 1.23 – 1.23 Projected xPts 1.34- Rubin Kazan
- 34%
- Draw
- 32%
- Fakel Voronezh
- 34%
Russian Premier League publishes only its next few rounds, so the list stops here. The rest of the season is added as the league schedules it.
The band is how hard the model rates each match, from 1 (easiest) to 5 (hardest). Opponent attack and defence use the same 1–99 scale as Team Strength, where 50 is the average side in Russian Premier League.
Fixture difficulty in Russian Premier League
Reads each matchup for Fakel Voronezh: the band is cut from the model's chances of Fakel Voronezh winning and losing the match, so Fakel Voronezh's own strength and home advantage are in it.
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
Next 4 opponents
−0.21 xG vs league average
League rank unavailable. Only 4 upcoming league fixtures are currently scheduled.
Reads the opponents alone, whoever plays them: each one's fitted xG margin against Russian Premier League's average club, with no venue and nothing of Fakel Voronezh's own strength in it.
Opponents behind the figure
Next 4
−0.21 xG vs league average · over 4 fixtures
- Lokomotiv Moscow Home +0.12
- Krylya Sovetov Samara Away −0.46
- Rodina Moscow Home −0.19
- Rubin Kazan Away −0.31
About these numbers
What is published, what is worked out, and what is the model's
Published by the fixtures feed and stored as it arrives: the kickoff time, the two clubs, the competition, and whether a match is still scheduled.
Worked out here from stored figures: each opponent's attack and defence on a 1–99 scale, where 50 is the average side in Russian Premier League and a higher score is a stronger side at both ends; the difficulty band, cut from the model's chances of winning and losing each fixture; and everything the outlook, the strip and the fixture difficulty block add up from the rows — the run's mean band, its averages and totals, the counts they were taken over, the placings and the competition's average.
Worked out here from the model's ratings alone: the Upcoming opponent strength block, the mean of the next 5 opponents' fitted xG margins against the league's average club, whoever plays them, and its rank among the competition's clubs.
The model's output, for matches nobody has played yet: projected xG and xGA, the chances of a win, a draw and a loss, and xPts.
Projected xG is what the model expects a side to create in a match still to come. It is not the xG on the Results page, which measures the chances a side actually had.
xPts is what those three chances are worth in points: 3 times the chance of a win plus the chance of a draw, so 3 is the most a single fixture can be worth.
The difficulty band runs from 1, the most favourable fixture, to 5, the least favourable — so the lower a run's difficulty, the kinder the run.