Heart of Midlothian 3:1 Celtic: xG & match report · Scottish Premiership

Sunday, 26/10/2025 at 13:00

Full time

Match report · Scottish Premiership

Heart of Midlothian Home 2.04 xG

Celtic Away 1.21 xG

31 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

Heart of Midlothian Celtic

Shots: 12; 8
On target: 7; 2
Inside the box: 10; 4
xG per shot: 0.17; 0.15

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Heart of Midlothian

1.81 xG created 0.75 xGA

D 2.18 created, 1.52 conceded against Motherwell
W 1.33 created, 0.50 conceded against Livingston
W 1.77 created, 1.10 conceded against Rangers
W 1.94 created, 0.67 conceded against Falkirk FC
W 0.80 created, 0.43 conceded against Hibernian
W 2.85 created, 0.26 conceded against Kilmarnock

Celtic

2.28 xG created 0.86 xGA

W 3.00 created, 0.24 conceded against Livingston
D 0.19 created, 0.15 conceded against Rangers
W 2.83 created, 1.32 conceded against Kilmarnock
D 2.35 created, 0.78 conceded against Hibernian
W 2.62 created, 1.39 conceded against Motherwell
L 2.70 created, 1.30 conceded against Dundee FC

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.