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Sunday, 24/08/2025 at 18:30

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Match report · Serie A

Cagliari 1:1 Fiorentina

Cagliari Home 1.13 xG · 14 shots
Fiorentina Away 0.98 xG · 4 shots
11 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

  1. 68' Rolando Mandragora Fiorentina · 0.22 xG chance 0–1
  2. 90' Sebastiano Luperto Cagliari · 0.14 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Cagliari Fiorentina
Shots
14
4
On target
6
1
Inside the box
10
2
xG per shot
0.08
0.25
Open play xG
0.45
0.29
Set-piece xG
0.69
0.71
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.13 for Cagliari and 0.98 for Fiorentina.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Fiorentina · Moise Kean · 76' · No goal · 2 m · 0.71 xG Cagliari · Gennaro Borrelli · 56' · No goal · 4 m · 0.27 xG Fiorentina · Rolando Mandragora · 68' · Goal · 8 m · 0.22 xG Cagliari · Zito Luvumbo · 66' · No goal · 15 m · 0.20 xG Cagliari · Sebastiano Luperto · 90' · Goal · 9 m · 0.14 xG Cagliari · Zito Luvumbo · 85' · No goal · 11 m · 0.10 xG Cagliari · Gianluca Gaetano · 81' · No goal · 19 m · 0.09 xG Cagliari · Michael Folorunsho · 22' · No goal · 6 m · 0.08 xG Cagliari · Gianluca Gaetano · 83' · No goal · 15 m · 0.06 xG Cagliari · Gabriele Zappa · 90' · No goal · 10 m · 0.06 xG Cagliari · Zito Luvumbo · 83' · No goal · 15 m · 0.05 xG Cagliari · Gennaro Borrelli · 14' · No goal · 9 m · 0.04 xG Fiorentina · Jacopo Fazzini · 84' · No goal · 24 m · 0.04 xG Fiorentina · Nicolò Fagioli · 48' · No goal · 23 m · 0.03 xG Cagliari · Sebastiano Esposito · 38' · No goal · 13 m · 0.02 xG Cagliari · Sebastiano Esposito · 19' · No goal · 19 m · 0.01 xG Cagliari · Yerry Mina · 45' · No goal · 28 m · 0.01 xG Cagliari · Michael Folorunsho · 64' · No goal · 29 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

18 shots · 2.14 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Cagliari
  • Fiorentina
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

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xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.