Como 3:1 Lecce: xG & match report · Serie A

Saturday, 28/02/2026 at 15:00

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Como Home 2.77 xG · 12 shots

Lecce Away 0.24 xG · 5 shots

31 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

14' Lassana Coulibaly Lecce · 0.12 xG chance 0–1
19' Anastasios Douvikas Como · 0.33 xG chance 1–1
36' Jesús Rodriguez Como · 0.77 xG chance 2–1
44' Marc Kempf Como · 0.35 xG chance 3–1

The shots behind it

Como Lecce

Shots: 12; 5
On target: 7; 2
Inside the box: 12; 1
xG per shot: 0.23; 0.05
Open play xG: 2.34; 0.19
Set-piece xG: 0.44; 0.04
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.77 for Como and 0.24 for Lecce.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

17 shots · 3.01 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Como
Lecce
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Como

2.28 xG created 0.71 xGA

W 1.83 created, 0.27 conceded against Lazio
W 2.89 created, 0.48 conceded against Torino
D 5.24 created, 0.52 conceded against Atalanta
L 0.84 created, 1.53 conceded against Fiorentina
D 1.45 created, 0.76 conceded against Milan
W 1.41 created, 0.70 conceded against Juventus

Lecce

0.73 xG created 1.48 xGA

L 0.17 created, 2.60 conceded against Milan
D 0.56 created, 0.39 conceded against Lazio
L 0.58 created, 1.87 conceded against Torino
W 1.59 created, 0.88 conceded against Udinese
W 1.35 created, 1.01 conceded against Cagliari
L 0.12 created, 2.15 conceded against Inter

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Como: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Lecce 0:3 Como 27/12/2025 xG 0.76 – 1.63

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.