Inter 1:2 Udinese: xG & match report · Serie A

Sunday, 31/08/2025 at 20:45

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Match report · Serie A

Inter Home 1.97 xG · 16 shots

Udinese Away 1.21 xG · 10 shots

12 The result went against the chances

Goals

17' Denzel Dumfries Inter · 0.83 xG chance 1–0
29' Keinan Davis (pen.) Udinese · 0.82 xG chance 1–1
40' Arthur Atta Udinese · 0.08 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Inter Udinese

Shots: 16; 10
On target: 4; 5
Inside the box: 13; 4
xG per shot: 0.12; 0.13
Open play xG: 1.31; 0.39
Set-piece xG: 0.63; 0.06
Penalties: 0; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.97 for Inter and 0.43 for Udinese.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

26 shots · 3.21 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Inter
Udinese
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Inter

1.59 xG created 0.94 xGA

W 1.59 created, 0.94 conceded against Torino

Udinese

0.72 xG created 0.56 xGA

D 0.72 created, 0.56 conceded against Hellas Verona

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.