xgEdge

Fixtures

Lecce fixtures 2026/2027

Lecce · Serie A 2026/2027 →

What Lecce have left to play in Serie A 2026/2027, soonest first. Open a match for the projection behind it and the prices standing against it.

Fixture outlook

33 matches ahead in Serie A

Run difficulty 3.8 of 5 Difficult
Projected xG / match 0.97
Projected xGA / match 1.58
Projected xPts 30.4 / 99

Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.

What the fixtures say

The run of 33 matches ahead of Lecce in Serie A rates 3.8 of 5 for difficulty, which the scale calls Difficult. 22 of them rate harder than balanced, and nothing in the run rates easier. The model expects 0.97 projected xG a match from them and 30.4 of the 99 points the priced fixtures could return. The hardest of them is Inter away, banded 5 of 5 — Very difficult, against an attack rated 88/99 and a defence rated 63/99. Worth reading those figures against: the fit behind at least one of these fixtures is drawn from a thin sample of played matches.

The run at a glance

One cell per fixture in the run, soonest first, with its difficulty band under the opponent: 1 is the most favourable and 5 the least. An empty slot is a fixture with no band, and the cell says why.

The first 10 of the 33 matches in this run. The list below carries every one of them.

Kindest fixture

Parma home Wed 06/01

3 Balanced Opponent: attack 23/99, defence 36/99

Projected xG 1.18 – 1.02 Lecce win 37%

Toughest fixture

Inter away Sun 09/05

5 Very difficult Opponent: attack 88/99, defence 63/99

Projected xG 0.81 – 2.48 Lecce win 8%

  • Open the match page for Bologna

    Sun 11/10 Home Bologna Serie A

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 38/99, defence 69/99
    Projected xG 0.88 – 1.27 Projected xPts 1.02
  • Open the match page for Udinese

    Sun 18/10 Away Udinese Serie A

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 44/99, defence 32/99
    Projected xG 1.04 – 1.59 Projected xPts 0.95
  • Open the match page for Juventus

    Sun 25/10 Home Juventus Serie A

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 66/99, defence 82/99
    Projected xG 0.74 – 1.66 Projected xPts 0.68
  • Open the match page for Frosinone

    Thu 29/10 Away Frosinone Serie A

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 60/99, defence 22/99
    Projected xG 1.12 – 1.84 Projected xPts 0.87
  • Open the match page for Genoa

    Sun 01/11 Home Genoa Serie A

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 30/99, defence 52/99
    Projected xG 1.03 – 1.13 Projected xPts 1.25
  • Open the match page for Torino

    Sat 07/11 Away Torino Serie A

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 38/99, defence 41/99
    Projected xG 0.97 – 1.48 Projected xPts 0.96
  • Open the match page for Lazio

    Sat 21/11 Away Lazio Serie A

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 43/99, defence 56/99
    Projected xG 0.86 – 1.57 Projected xPts 0.82
  • Open the match page for Atalanta

    Mon 30/11 Home Atalanta Serie A

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 50/99, defence 44/99
    Projected xG 1.10 – 1.43 Projected xPts 1.10
  • Open the match page for Napoli

    Sat 05/12 Away Napoli Serie A

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 56/99, defence 66/99
    Projected xG 0.78 – 1.77 Projected xPts 0.66
  • Open the match page for Sassuolo

    Sat 12/12 Home Sassuolo Serie A

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 57/99, defence 41/99
    Projected xG 1.13 – 1.54 Projected xPts 1.05
  • Open the match page for Inter

    Fri 18/12 Home Inter Serie A

    5 Very difficult Opponent: attack 88/99, defence 63/99
    Projected xG 0.95 – 2.13 Projected xPts 0.61
  • Open the match page for Como

    Sun 03/01 Away Como Serie A

    5 Very difficult Opponent: attack 73/99, defence 66/99
    Projected xG 0.78 – 2.09 Projected xPts 0.52
  • Open the match page for Parma

    Wed 06/01 Home Parma Serie A

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 23/99, defence 36/99
    Projected xG 1.18 – 1.02 Projected xPts 1.46
  • Open the match page for Fiorentina

    Sun 10/01 Away Fiorentina Serie A

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 48/99, defence 55/99
    Projected xG 0.86 – 1.65 Projected xPts 0.78
  • Open the match page for Udinese

    Sun 17/01 Home Udinese Serie A

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 44/99, defence 32/99
    Projected xG 1.21 – 1.36 Projected xPts 1.23
  • Open the match page for Torino

    Sun 24/01 Home Torino Serie A

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 38/99, defence 41/99
    Projected xG 1.13 – 1.26 Projected xPts 1.23
  • Open the match page for Genoa

    Sun 31/01 Away Genoa Serie A

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 30/99, defence 52/99
    Projected xG 0.88 – 1.32 Projected xPts 0.99
  • Open the match page for Napoli

    Sun 07/02 Home Napoli Serie A

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 56/99, defence 66/99
    Projected xG 0.92 – 1.52 Projected xPts 0.89
  • Open the match page for Monza

    Sun 14/02 Away Monza Serie A

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 51/99, defence 58/99
    Projected xG 0.85 – 1.70 Projected xPts 0.74
  • Open the match page for Frosinone

    Sun 21/02 Home Frosinone Serie A

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 60/99, defence 22/99
    Projected xG 1.31 – 1.58 Projected xPts 1.17
  • Open the match page for Bologna

    Sun 28/02 Away Bologna Serie A

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 38/99, defence 69/99
    Projected xG 0.76 – 1.48 Projected xPts 0.79
  • Open the match page for Como

    Sun 07/03 Home Como Serie A

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 73/99, defence 66/99
    Projected xG 0.92 – 1.79 Projected xPts 0.75
  • Open the match page for Parma

    Sun 14/03 Away Parma Serie A

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 23/99, defence 36/99
    Projected xG 1.01 – 1.19 Projected xPts 1.18
  • Open the match page for Roma

    Sun 21/03 Away Roma Serie A

    5 Very difficult Opponent: attack 76/99, defence 74/99
    Projected xG 0.72 – 2.15 Projected xPts 0.46
  • Open the match page for Lazio

    Sun 04/04 Home Lazio Serie A

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 43/99, defence 56/99
    Projected xG 1.00 – 1.34 Projected xPts 1.07
  • Open the match page for Juventus

    Sun 11/04 Away Juventus Serie A

    5 Very difficult Opponent: attack 66/99, defence 82/99
    Projected xG 0.63 – 1.94 Projected xPts 0.48
  • Open the match page for Sassuolo

    Sun 18/04 Away Sassuolo Serie A

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 57/99, defence 41/99
    Projected xG 0.96 – 1.80 Projected xPts 0.78
  • Open the match page for Milan

    Sun 25/04 Home Milan Serie A

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 44/99, defence 60/99
    Projected xG 0.97 – 1.35 Projected xPts 1.04
  • Open the match page for Cagliari

    Sun 02/05 Home Cagliari Serie A

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 33/99, defence 32/99
    Projected xG 1.21 – 1.19 Projected xPts 1.36
  • Open the match page for Inter

    Sun 09/05 Away Inter Serie A

    5 Very difficult Opponent: attack 88/99, defence 63/99
    Projected xG 0.81 – 2.48 Projected xPts 0.41
  • Open the match page for Fiorentina

    Sun 16/05 Home Fiorentina Serie A

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 48/99, defence 55/99
    Projected xG 1.01 – 1.41 Projected xPts 1.04
  • Open the match page for Atalanta

    Sun 23/05 Away Atalanta Serie A

    4 Difficult Opponent: attack 50/99, defence 44/99
    Projected xG 0.94 – 1.68 Projected xPts 0.83
  • Open the match page for Venezia

    Sun 30/05 Home Venezia Serie A

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 46/99, defence 25/99
    Projected xG 1.28 – 1.38 Projected xPts 1.27

The band is how hard the model rates each match, from 1 (easiest) to 5 (hardest). Opponent attack and defence use the same 1–99 scale as Team Strength, where 50 is the average side in Serie A.

Fixture difficulty in Serie A

Reads each matchup for Lecce: the band is cut from the model's chances of Lecce winning and losing the match, so Lecce's own strength and home advantage are in it.

3.8 Lecce's run 3.0 the competition's average

Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.

Upcoming opponent strength

number 10 hardest of 20 in Serie A

−0.01 xG vs league average

Over 5 upcoming league fixtures

Reads the opponents alone, whoever plays them: each one's fitted xG margin against Serie A's average club, with no venue and nothing of Lecce's own strength in it.

Opponents behind the figure

Upcoming

−0.01 xG vs league average · over 5 fixtures · number 10 hardest of 20

  1. Bologna Home +0.05
  2. Udinese Away −0.26
  3. Juventus Home +0.58
  4. Frosinone Away −0.18
  5. Genoa Home −0.25

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

About these numbers

What is published, what is worked out, and what is the model's

Published by the fixtures feed and stored as it arrives: the kickoff time, the two clubs, the competition, and whether a match is still scheduled.

Worked out here from stored figures: each opponent's attack and defence on a 1–99 scale, where 50 is the average side in Serie A and a higher score is a stronger side at both ends; the difficulty band, cut from the model's chances of winning and losing each fixture; and everything the outlook, the strip and the fixture difficulty block add up from the rows — the run's mean band, its averages and totals, the counts they were taken over, the placings and the competition's average.

Worked out here from the model's ratings alone: the Upcoming opponent strength block, the mean of the next 5 opponents' fitted xG margins against the league's average club, whoever plays them, and its rank among the competition's clubs.

The model's output, for matches nobody has played yet: projected xG and xGA, the chances of a win, a draw and a loss, and xPts.

Projected xG is what the model expects a side to create in a match still to come. It is not the xG on the Results page, which measures the chances a side actually had.

xPts is what those three chances are worth in points: 3 times the chance of a win plus the chance of a draw, so 3 is the most a single fixture can be worth.

The difficulty band runs from 1, the most favourable fixture, to 5, the least favourable — so the lower a run's difficulty, the kinder the run.

How the model and every figure here are made →

How the model works →

Mind if we count your visit?

We use Google Analytics only to see how many people visit and which pages they read. It loads after you allow it — no ads, no tracking across other sites. What we collect