xgEdge

What OFI Crete have left to play in Super League Greece 2026/2027, soonest first. Open a match for the projection behind it and the prices standing against it.

Fixture outlook

3 matches ahead in Super League Greece

Run difficulty 3.7 of 5 Difficult
Projected xG / match 0.95
Projected xGA / match 1.48
Projected xPts 2.9 / 9

Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.

What the fixtures say

The run of 3 matches ahead of OFI Crete in Super League Greece rates 3.7 of 5 for difficulty, which the scale calls Difficult. 1 of them rates harder than balanced, and nothing in the run rates easier. The model expects 0.95 projected xG a match from them and 2.9 of the 9 points the priced fixtures could return. The hardest of them is AEK Athens away, banded 5 of 5 — Very difficult, against an attack rated 80/99 and a defence rated 72/99. Worth reading those figures against: the fit behind at least one of these fixtures is drawn from a thin sample of played matches.

The run at a glance

One cell per fixture in the run, soonest first, with its difficulty band under the opponent: 1 is the most favourable and 5 the least. An empty slot is a fixture with no band, and the cell says why.

Kindest fixture

PAOK home Sun 25/10

3 Balanced Opponent: attack 61/99, defence 61/99

Projected xG 1.05 – 1.24 OFI Crete win 29%

Toughest fixture

AEK Athens away Sat 10/10

5 Very difficult Opponent: attack 80/99, defence 72/99

Projected xG 0.76 – 1.87 OFI Crete win 12%

  • Open the match page for AEK Athens

    Sat 10/10 Away AEK Athens Super League Greece

    5 Very difficult Opponent: attack 80/99, defence 72/99
    Projected xG 0.76 – 1.87 Projected xPts 0.59
  • Open the match page for PS Kalamata

    Sun 18/10 Away PS Kalamata Super League Greece

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 46/99, defence 32/99
    Projected xG 1.05 – 1.34 Projected xPts 1.11
  • Open the match page for PAOK

    Sun 25/10 Home PAOK Super League Greece

    3 Balanced Opponent: attack 61/99, defence 61/99
    Projected xG 1.05 – 1.24 Projected xPts 1.19

Super League Greece publishes only its next few rounds, so the list stops here. The rest of the season is added as the league schedules it.

Super League Greece ends in play-offs, and their fixtures are set once the regular season's table decides who plays whom.

The band is how hard the model rates each match, from 1 (easiest) to 5 (hardest). Opponent attack and defence use the same 1–99 scale as Team Strength, where 50 is the average side in Super League Greece.

Fixture difficulty in Super League Greece

Reads each matchup for OFI Crete: the band is cut from the model's chances of OFI Crete winning and losing the match, so OFI Crete's own strength and home advantage are in it.

3.7 OFI Crete's run 3.0 the competition's average

Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.

Next 3 opponents

+0.21 xG vs league average

League rank unavailable. Only 3 upcoming league fixtures are currently scheduled.

Reads the opponents alone, whoever plays them: each one's fitted xG margin against Super League Greece's average club, with no venue and nothing of OFI Crete's own strength in it.

Opponents behind the figure

Next 3

+0.21 xG vs league average · over 3 fixtures

  1. AEK Athens Away +0.61
  2. PS Kalamata Away −0.21
  3. PAOK Home +0.22

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

About these numbers

What is published, what is worked out, and what is the model's

Published by the fixtures feed and stored as it arrives: the kickoff time, the two clubs, the competition, and whether a match is still scheduled.

Worked out here from stored figures: each opponent's attack and defence on a 1–99 scale, where 50 is the average side in Super League Greece and a higher score is a stronger side at both ends; the difficulty band, cut from the model's chances of winning and losing each fixture; and everything the outlook, the strip and the fixture difficulty block add up from the rows — the run's mean band, its averages and totals, the counts they were taken over, the placings and the competition's average.

Worked out here from the model's ratings alone: the Upcoming opponent strength block, the mean of the next 5 opponents' fitted xG margins against the league's average club, whoever plays them, and its rank among the competition's clubs.

The model's output, for matches nobody has played yet: projected xG and xGA, the chances of a win, a draw and a loss, and xPts.

Projected xG is what the model expects a side to create in a match still to come. It is not the xG on the Results page, which measures the chances a side actually had.

xPts is what those three chances are worth in points: 3 times the chance of a win plus the chance of a draw, so 3 is the most a single fixture can be worth.

The difficulty band runs from 1, the most favourable fixture, to 5, the least favourable — so the lower a run's difficulty, the kinder the run.

How the model and every figure here are made →

How the model works →