FC Luzern 1:3 FC Thun: xG & match report · Swiss Super League

Saturday, 25/07/2026 at 20:30

Full time

Match report · Swiss Super League

FC Luzern Home 2.53 xG · 22 shots

FC Thun Away 1.92 xG · 20 shots

13 The result went against the chances

Goals

2' Stefan Knežević FC Luzern · 0.97 xG chance 1–0
8' Nico Maier FC Thun · 0.03 xG chance 1–1
51' Marc Gutbub FC Thun · 0.39 xG chance 1–2
84' Nicolas Bürgy FC Thun · 0.27 xG chance 1–3

The shots behind it

FC Luzern FC Thun

Shots: 22; 20
On target: 4; 7
Inside the box: 19; 15
xG per shot: 0.12; 0.10
Open play xG: 0.80; 0.70
Set-piece xG: 1.78; 1.22
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.53 for FC Luzern.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

42 shots · 4.50 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

FC Luzern
FC Thun
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

FC Luzern

1.79 xG created 1.44 xGA

D 1.07 created, 1.57 conceded against FC St. Gallen 1879
W 2.28 created, 0.89 conceded against Grasshopper Club Zürich
W 2.14 created, 1.61 conceded against FC Lausanne-Sport
D 0.74 created, 2.26 conceded against Servette FC
W 2.16 created, 1.76 conceded against FC Zürich
W 2.33 created, 0.54 conceded against FC Winterthur

FC Thun

1.16 xG created 2.48 xGA

W 1.33 created, 1.24 conceded against Basel
L 0.66 created, 2.16 conceded against FC Lugano
L 0.43 created, 2.02 conceded against Basel
L 1.28 created, 1.57 conceded against FC Sion
L 1.83 created, 5.57 conceded against Young Boys
D 1.43 created, 2.33 conceded against FC St. Gallen 1879

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

FC Luzern: 0 won · 0 drawn · 3 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.