FC Luzern 1:3 FC Winterthur: xG & match report · Swiss Super League

Saturday, 29/11/2025 at 20:30

Full time

Match report · Swiss Super League

FC Luzern Home 1.96 xG

FC Winterthur Away 0.86 xG

13 The result went against the chances

The shots behind it

FC Luzern FC Winterthur

Shots: 26; 10
On target: 7; 5
Inside the box: 15; 5
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.09

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

FC Luzern

2.05 xG created 1.10 xGA

D 1.59 created, 0.54 conceded against FC Lausanne-Sport
D 1.86 created, 1.31 conceded against FC Winterthur
L 1.92 created, 0.31 conceded against FC Lugano
W 2.93 created, 0.39 conceded against Grasshopper Club Zürich
L 2.79 created, 2.55 conceded against FC Zürich
D 1.22 created, 1.51 conceded against Servette FC

FC Winterthur

0.85 xG created 2.37 xGA

L 0.54 created, 4.29 conceded against Basel
D 1.31 created, 1.86 conceded against FC Luzern
L 0.95 created, 2.93 conceded against FC Thun
W 1.17 created, 1.27 conceded against Servette FC
L 1.06 created, 1.41 conceded against Grasshopper Club Zürich
L 0.08 created, 2.45 conceded against Young Boys

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

FC Luzern: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

FC Winterthur 2:2 FC Luzern 25/10/2025 xG 1.31 – 1.86

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.