What Obolon Kyiv have left to play in Ukrainian Premier League 2026/2027, soonest first. Open a match for the projection behind it and the prices standing against it.
Fixture outlook
4 matches ahead in Ukrainian Premier League
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
What the fixtures say
The run of 4 matches ahead of Obolon Kyiv in Ukrainian Premier League rates 3.8 of 5 for difficulty, which the scale calls Difficult. 2 of them rate harder than balanced, and nothing in the run rates easier. The model expects 0.97 projected xG a match from them and 3.9 of the 12 points the priced fixtures could return. The hardest of them is Polissya Zhytomyr away, banded 5 of 5 — Very difficult, against an attack rated 77/99 and a defence rated 67/99.
The run at a glance
Veres Rivne home Sat 17/10
Projected xG 1.19 – 1.13 Obolon Kyiv win 35%
Polissya Zhytomyr away Sat 24/10
Projected xG 0.75 – 1.91 Obolon Kyiv win 11%
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Open the match page for FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Sat 10/10 Home FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Ukrainian Premier League
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 53/99, defence 32/99Projected xG 1.23 – 1.35 Projected xPts 1.25- Obolon Kyiv
- 31%
- Draw
- 31%
- FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
- 37%
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Open the match page for Veres Rivne
Sat 17/10 Home Veres Rivne Ukrainian Premier League
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 37/99, defence 36/99Projected xG 1.19 – 1.13 Projected xPts 1.38- Obolon Kyiv
- 35%
- Draw
- 33%
- Veres Rivne
- 32%
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Open the match page for Polissya Zhytomyr
Sat 24/10 Away Polissya Zhytomyr Ukrainian Premier League
5 Very difficult Opponent: attack 77/99, defence 67/99Projected xG 0.75 – 1.91 Projected xPts 0.58- Polissya Zhytomyr
- 65%
- Draw
- 24%
- Obolon Kyiv
- 11%
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Open the match page for Shakhtar Donetsk
Sat 31/10 Home Shakhtar Donetsk Ukrainian Premier League
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 70/99, defence 76/99Projected xG 0.73 – 1.57 Projected xPts 0.71- Obolon Kyiv
- 14%
- Draw
- 29%
- Shakhtar Donetsk
- 57%
Ukrainian Premier League publishes only its next few rounds, so the list stops here. The rest of the season is added as the league schedules it.
The band is how hard the model rates each match, from 1 (easiest) to 5 (hardest). Opponent attack and defence use the same 1–99 scale as Team Strength, where 50 is the average side in Ukrainian Premier League.
Fixture difficulty in Ukrainian Premier League
Reads each matchup for Obolon Kyiv: the band is cut from the model's chances of Obolon Kyiv winning and losing the match, so Obolon Kyiv's own strength and home advantage are in it.
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
Next 4 opponents
+0.18 xG vs league average
League rank unavailable. Only 4 upcoming league fixtures are currently scheduled.
Reads the opponents alone, whoever plays them: each one's fitted xG margin against Ukrainian Premier League's average club, with no venue and nothing of Obolon Kyiv's own strength in it.
Opponents behind the figure
Next 4
+0.18 xG vs league average · over 4 fixtures
- FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Home −0.18
- Veres Rivne Home −0.37
- Polissya Zhytomyr Away +0.64
- Shakhtar Donetsk Home +0.66
About these numbers
What is published, what is worked out, and what is the model's
Published by the fixtures feed and stored as it arrives: the kickoff time, the two clubs, the competition, and whether a match is still scheduled.
Worked out here from stored figures: each opponent's attack and defence on a 1–99 scale, where 50 is the average side in Ukrainian Premier League and a higher score is a stronger side at both ends; the difficulty band, cut from the model's chances of winning and losing each fixture; and everything the outlook, the strip and the fixture difficulty block add up from the rows — the run's mean band, its averages and totals, the counts they were taken over, the placings and the competition's average.
Worked out here from the model's ratings alone: the Upcoming opponent strength block, the mean of the next 5 opponents' fitted xG margins against the league's average club, whoever plays them, and its rank among the competition's clubs.
The model's output, for matches nobody has played yet: projected xG and xGA, the chances of a win, a draw and a loss, and xPts.
Projected xG is what the model expects a side to create in a match still to come. It is not the xG on the Results page, which measures the chances a side actually had.
xPts is what those three chances are worth in points: 3 times the chance of a win plus the chance of a draw, so 3 is the most a single fixture can be worth.
The difficulty band runs from 1, the most favourable fixture, to 5, the least favourable — so the lower a run's difficulty, the kinder the run.