xgEdge

Expected goals

Rukh Lviv expected goals (xG) 2025/2026

Ukrainian Premier League · after 29 matches · updated 4 Oct

Rukh Lviv's attacking and defensive expected goals in Ukrainian Premier League 2025/2026, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Rukh Lviv xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.00 xG per match
#14/16
Attack (xG per match) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Dynamo Kyiv 2.19
#2 Shakhtar Donetsk 2.06
#3 Polissya Zhytomyr 1.81
#4 LNZ Cherkasy 1.56
#5 Karpaty Lviv 1.50
#6 Zoria Luhansk 1.40
#7 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 1.40
#8 Metalist 1925 1.33
#9 Kolos Kovalivka 1.31
#10 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 1.20
#11 Kudrivka 1.13
#12 Veres Rivne 1.07
#13 Obolon Kyiv 1.06
#14 Rukh Lviv 1.00
#15 Oleksandria 0.83
#16 SC Poltava 0.82
League avg
1.35
Total
29.13 29 matches
Defence
1.50 xGA per match
#10/16
Defence (xGA per match) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 LNZ Cherkasy 0.65
#2 Shakhtar Donetsk 0.70
#3 Metalist 1925 0.79
#4 Dynamo Kyiv 0.85
#5 Polissya Zhytomyr 1.14
#6 Kolos Kovalivka 1.26
#7 Karpaty Lviv 1.26
#8 Obolon Kyiv 1.32
#9 Zoria Luhansk 1.39
#10 Rukh Lviv 1.50
#11 Veres Rivne 1.51
#12 Kudrivka 1.56
#13 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 1.60
#14 Oleksandria 1.78
#15 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 1.96
#16 SC Poltava 2.35
League avg
1.35
Total
43.44 29 matches
xG difference
-0.49 xGD per match
#13/16
xG difference (xGD per match) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Shakhtar Donetsk +1.36
#2 Dynamo Kyiv +1.33
#3 LNZ Cherkasy +0.91
#4 Polissya Zhytomyr +0.67
#5 Metalist 1925 +0.54
#6 Karpaty Lviv +0.24
#7 Kolos Kovalivka +0.05
#8 Zoria Luhansk +0.00
#9 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih -0.21
#10 Obolon Kyiv -0.26
#11 Kudrivka -0.43
#12 Veres Rivne -0.44
#13 Rukh Lviv -0.49
#14 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi -0.76
#15 Oleksandria -0.95
#16 SC Poltava -1.53
League avg
0.00
Total
-14.31 29 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.14 xPts per match
#10/16
Expected points (xPts per match) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Dynamo Kyiv 2.20
#2 Shakhtar Donetsk 2.14
#3 LNZ Cherkasy 2.08
#4 Polissya Zhytomyr 1.76
#5 Metalist 1925 1.72
#6 Karpaty Lviv 1.55
#7 Kolos Kovalivka 1.41
#8 Zoria Luhansk 1.36
#9 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 1.26
#10 Rukh Lviv 1.14
#11 Obolon Kyiv 1.14
#12 Veres Rivne 1.09
#13 Kudrivka 1.08
#14 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 0.95
#15 Oleksandria 0.76
#16 SC Poltava 0.53
League avg
1.38
Total
32.99 vs 21 actual pts

Expected goals here are summed over 29 of 30 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.

What the xG says

Rukh Lviv's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Ukrainian Premier League. They rank #13 for xG difference at -0.49 per match, from low shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 20 goals are 9.13 below 29.13 xG, while 21 points are 11.99 below 32.99 xPts — both over the 29 matches with xG.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 2.23 xG from penalties
20 29.13 -9.13 scored 9.13 fewer than xG outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
49 43.44 +5.56 conceded 5.56 more than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
21 32.99 -11.99 11.99 points below xPts far outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Rukh Lviv are 9.13 goals below their xG after 29 matches.

Goals
20
xG
29.13
Gap
-9.13
Fri 01/08 Fri 08/08 Fri 15/08 Sat 30/08 Sat 13/09 Sun 21/09 Sun 28/09 Fri 03/10 Sat 18/10 Sat 25/10 Sun 02/11 Sat 08/11 Sun 23/11 Sun 30/11 Sun 07/12 Sun 14/12 Fri 20/02 Sun 01/03 Mon 09/03 Sun 15/03 Sat 21/03 Sun 05/04 Fri 10/04 Sun 19/04 Sat 25/04 Mon 04/05 Sat 09/05 Thu 14/05 Sun 17/05 -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 +2 +1.44 +1.54 +1.59 +1.16 -0.94 -1.01 -1.15 -1.95 -2.74 -3.36 -4.92 -5.88 -4.60 -5.89 -5.92 -5.24 -5.29 -6.26 -6.31 -6.92 -6.43 -6.43 -6.06 -6.22 -7.12 -6.87 -7.67 -7.17 -9.13 +1.44 +0.10 +0.05 -0.43 -2.10 -0.07 -0.14 -0.80 -0.79 -0.62 -1.56 -0.96 +1.28 -1.29 -0.03 +0.68 -0.05 -0.97 -0.05 -0.61 +0.49 +0.00 +0.37 -0.16 -0.90 +0.25 -0.80 +0.50 -1.96 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Rukh Lviv: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Fri 01/08 SC Poltava 2 0.56 +1.44 +1.44
Fri 08/08 Dynamo Kyiv 1 0.90 +0.10 +1.54
Fri 15/08 Obolon Kyiv 1 0.95 +0.05 +1.59
Sat 30/08 Metalist 1925 0 0.43 -0.43 +1.16
Sat 13/09 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 0 2.10 -2.10 -0.94
Sun 21/09 LNZ Cherkasy 0 0.07 -0.07 -1.01
Sun 28/09 Shakhtar Donetsk 0 0.14 -0.14 -1.15
Fri 03/10 Kolos Kovalivka 2 2.80 -0.80 -1.95
Sat 18/10 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 1 1.79 -0.79 -2.74
Sat 25/10 Karpaty Lviv 0 0.62 -0.62 -3.36
Sun 02/11 Zoria Luhansk 0 1.56 -1.56 -4.92
Sat 08/11 Veres Rivne 0 0.96 -0.96 -5.88
Sun 23/11 Kudrivka 4 2.72 +1.28 -4.60
Sun 30/11 Oleksandria 1 2.29 -1.29 -5.89
Sun 07/12 Polissya Zhytomyr 1 1.03 -0.03 -5.92
Sun 14/12 SC Poltava 2 1.32 +0.68 -5.24
Fri 20/02 Dynamo Kyiv 0 0.05 -0.05 -5.29
Sun 01/03 Obolon Kyiv 0 0.97 -0.97 -6.26
Mon 09/03 Metalist 1925 0 0.05 -0.05 -6.31
Sun 15/03 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 0 0.61 -0.61 -6.92
Sat 21/03 LNZ Cherkasy 1 0.51 +0.49 -6.43
Sun 05/04 Shakhtar Donetsk 0 0.00 +0.00 -6.43
Fri 10/04 Kolos Kovalivka 1 0.63 +0.37 -6.06
Sun 19/04 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 0 0.16 -0.16 -6.22
Sat 25/04 Karpaty Lviv 0 0.90 -0.90 -7.12
Mon 04/05 Zoria Luhansk 1 0.75 +0.25 -6.87
Sat 09/05 Veres Rivne 0 0.80 -0.80 -7.67
Thu 14/05 Kudrivka 1 0.50 +0.50 -7.17
Sun 17/05 Oleksandria 1 2.96 -1.96 -9.13

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Rukh Lviv xG trend

Current form -0.95 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 13 of 29 matches. The worst was against Metalist 1925 on Mon 09/03 (-3.42).

npxG · last 6
0.94
npxGA · last 6
1.89
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +0.14 Fri 01/08 -2.28 Fri 08/08 +0.38 Fri 15/08 -0.91 Sat 30/08 +1.10 Sat 13/09 -1.90 Sun 21/09 -1.41 Sun 28/09 +1.50 Fri 03/10 +0.71 Sat 18/10 -0.18 Sat 25/10 +0.13 Sun 02/11 +0.20 Sat 08/11 +0.55 Sun 23/11 +1.49 Sun 30/11 +0.79 Sun 07/12 +1.01 Sun 14/12 -1.87 Fri 20/02 -0.50 Sun 01/03 -3.42 Mon 09/03 -0.24 Sun 15/03 -0.46 Sat 21/03 -3.16 Sun 05/04 -0.29 Fri 10/04 -1.21 Sun 19/04 -2.94 Sat 25/04 -0.36 Mon 04/05 +0.25 Sat 09/05 -2.15 Thu 14/05 +0.71 Sun 17/05 -0.49 season avg
Rukh Lviv: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Fri 01/08 SC Poltava 0.56 0.42 +0.14 +0.14
Fri 08/08 Dynamo Kyiv 1.01 3.29 -2.28 -1.07
Fri 15/08 Obolon Kyiv 0.96 0.58 +0.38 -0.59
Sat 30/08 Metalist 1925 0.44 1.35 -0.91 -0.67
Sat 13/09 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 2.10 1.00 +1.10 -0.31
Sun 21/09 LNZ Cherkasy 0.07 1.97 -1.90 -0.58
Sun 28/09 Shakhtar Donetsk 0.14 1.55 -1.41 -0.70
Fri 03/10 Kolos Kovalivka 2.04 0.54 +1.50 -0.42
Sat 18/10 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 1.79 1.08 +0.71 -0.30
Sat 25/10 Karpaty Lviv 0.62 0.80 -0.18 -0.29
Sun 02/11 Zoria Luhansk 0.80 0.67 +0.13 -0.25
Sat 08/11 Veres Rivne 0.96 0.76 +0.20 -0.21
Sun 23/11 Kudrivka 2.72 2.17 +0.55 -0.15
Sun 30/11 Oleksandria 2.29 0.80 +1.49 -0.03
Sun 07/12 Polissya Zhytomyr 1.03 0.24 +0.79 +0.02
Sun 14/12 SC Poltava 1.32 0.31 +1.01 +0.08
Fri 20/02 Dynamo Kyiv 0.05 1.92 -1.87 -0.03
Sun 01/03 Obolon Kyiv 0.67 1.17 -0.50 -0.06
Mon 09/03 Metalist 1925 0.05 3.47 -3.42 -0.24
Sun 15/03 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 0.51 0.75 -0.24 -0.24
Sat 21/03 LNZ Cherkasy 0.51 0.97 -0.46 -0.25
Sun 05/04 Shakhtar Donetsk 0.00 3.16 -3.16 -0.38
Fri 10/04 Kolos Kovalivka 0.63 0.92 -0.29 -0.37
Sun 19/04 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 0.37 1.58 -1.21 -0.41
Sat 25/04 Karpaty Lviv 0.89 3.83 -2.94 -0.51
Mon 04/05 Zoria Luhansk 0.75 1.11 -0.36 -0.50
Sat 09/05 Veres Rivne 0.80 0.55 +0.25 -0.48
Thu 14/05 Kudrivka 0.50 2.65 -2.15 -0.54
Sun 17/05 Oleksandria 2.32 1.61 +0.71 -0.49

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 0.93 npxG and 1.42 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 2 hardest of 16 in Ukrainian Premier League
+0.07 xG vs league average
Over 30 league matches
Last 5
number 13 hardest of 16 in Ukrainian Premier League
−0.13 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.07 xG vs league average · over 30 matches · tied number 2 hardest of 16

  1. Polissya Zhytomyr Away +0.57
  2. Oleksandria Home −0.57
  3. Kudrivka Away −0.31
  4. Veres Rivne Home −0.33
  5. Zoria Luhansk Home 0.00
  6. Karpaty Lviv Home +0.14
  7. FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Away +0.07
  8. Kolos Kovalivka Home +0.08
  9. Shakhtar Donetsk Away +0.86
  10. LNZ Cherkasy Home +0.45
  11. FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi Away −0.34
  12. Metalist 1925 Home +0.46
  13. Obolon Kyiv Away −0.04
  14. Dynamo Kyiv Away +0.92
  15. SC Poltava Away −0.95
  16. Polissya Zhytomyr Home +0.57
  17. Oleksandria Away −0.57
  18. Kudrivka Home −0.31
  19. Veres Rivne Away −0.33
  20. Zoria Luhansk Away 0.00
  21. Karpaty Lviv Away +0.14
  22. FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Home +0.07
  23. Kolos Kovalivka Away +0.08
  24. Shakhtar Donetsk Home +0.86
  25. LNZ Cherkasy Away +0.45
  26. FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi Home −0.34
  27. Metalist 1925 Away +0.46
  28. Obolon Kyiv Home −0.04
  29. Dynamo Kyiv Home +0.92
  30. SC Poltava Home −0.95

Last 5

−0.13 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 13 hardest of 16

  1. Polissya Zhytomyr Away +0.57
  2. Oleksandria Home −0.57
  3. Kudrivka Away −0.31
  4. Veres Rivne Home −0.33
  5. Zoria Luhansk Home 0.00

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Rukh Lviv shots and chance quality

Low volume, average quality. Rukh Lviv take 9.2 shots a match (league 12.0) at 0.10 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #14 in Ukrainian Premier League for volume and #9 for quality. 51% of their shots come from inside the box (league 56%).

Attack

Shot volume
9.2 shots per match
#14/16
Shot volume (shots per match) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Dynamo Kyiv 16.7
#2 Shakhtar Donetsk 16.1
#3 Metalist 1925 14.4
#4 Polissya Zhytomyr 14.3
#5 Karpaty Lviv 13.9
#6 LNZ Cherkasy 13.0
#7 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 12.9
#8 Kolos Kovalivka 12.4
#9 Zoria Luhansk 12.2
#10 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 11.4
#11 Kudrivka 10.7
#12 Veres Rivne 9.7
#13 Obolon Kyiv 9.6
#14 Rukh Lviv 9.2
#15 Oleksandria 8.4
#16 SC Poltava 7.8
League avg
12.0
Total
266 shots from 29 matches
Chance quality
0.10 npxG per shot
#9/16
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Dynamo Kyiv 0.12
#2 Shakhtar Donetsk 0.12
#3 Polissya Zhytomyr 0.11
#4 LNZ Cherkasy 0.11
#5 Zoria Luhansk 0.11
#6 Veres Rivne 0.11
#7 Obolon Kyiv 0.10
#8 Karpaty Lviv 0.10
#9 Rukh Lviv 0.10
#10 Oleksandria 0.10
#11 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 0.10
#12 Kolos Kovalivka 0.10
#13 SC Poltava 0.09
#14 Kudrivka 0.09
#15 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 0.09
#16 Metalist 1925 0.09
League avg
0.10
Total
26.90 npxG from 266 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
11.8 shots per match
#7/16
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Shakhtar Donetsk 6.5
#2 Metalist 1925 8.1
#3 LNZ Cherkasy 8.5
#4 Dynamo Kyiv 8.8
#5 Polissya Zhytomyr 10.1
#6 Kolos Kovalivka 11.4
#7 Rukh Lviv 11.8
#8 Karpaty Lviv 11.8
#9 Zoria Luhansk 12.2
#10 Obolon Kyiv 12.7
#11 Veres Rivne 13.0
#12 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 14.0
#13 Kudrivka 14.1
#14 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 14.7
#15 Oleksandria 15.9
#16 SC Poltava 18.3
League avg
12.0
Total
341 shots allowed from 29 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.12 npxGA per shot
#15/16
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 LNZ Cherkasy 0.08
#2 Metalist 1925 0.09
#3 Obolon Kyiv 0.09
#4 Dynamo Kyiv 0.09
#5 Karpaty Lviv 0.10
#6 Oleksandria 0.10
#7 Shakhtar Donetsk 0.10
#8 Kolos Kovalivka 0.10
#9 Polissya Zhytomyr 0.10
#10 Zoria Luhansk 0.11
#11 Kudrivka 0.11
#12 Veres Rivne 0.11
#13 SC Poltava 0.11
#14 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 0.11
#15 Rukh Lviv 0.12
#16 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 0.12
League avg
0.10
Total
41.22 npxGA from 341 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

51% inside the box

League avg 56%

From 136 of 266 shots over 29 matches

Shots allowed, location

62% allowed inside the box

League avg 56%

From 210 of 341 shots allowed over 29 matches

How the shot figures are made →

Rukh Lviv home and away xG

Rukh Lviv per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 15 15 14 with xG
xG / match 1.12 0.88
xGA / match 1.57 1.43
xGD / match -0.45 -0.54
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.19 1.08

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Rukh Lviv match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

Last 5

Matches
5 4 with xG
xG / match
1.25
xGA / match
1.48
xGD / match
-0.23
Points
1 of 15
  1. Sun 24/05 Polissya Zhytomyr A
  2. Sun 17/05 Oleksandria H Against the chances xG 2.96 P xGA 1.61 xGD +1.35
  3. Thu 14/05 Kudrivka A xG 0.50 xGA 2.65 xGD -2.15
  4. Sat 09/05 Veres Rivne H xG 0.80 xGA 0.54 xGD +0.26
  5. Mon 04/05 Zoria Luhansk H xG 0.75 xGA 1.11 xGD -0.36

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Rukh Lviv in Ukrainian Premier League

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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