SC Poltava xG 2025/2026: expected goals, xGA & xPts per match

SC Poltava xG and xGA per match

Attack

0.82 xG per match

Attack (xG per match) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank	Club	xG per match
#1	Dynamo Kyiv	2.19
#2	Shakhtar Donetsk	2.06
#3	Polissya Zhytomyr	1.81
#4	LNZ Cherkasy	1.56
#5	Karpaty Lviv	1.50
#6	Zoria Luhansk	1.40
#7	FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih	1.40
#8	Metalist 1925	1.33
#9	Kolos Kovalivka	1.31
#10	FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi	1.20
#11	Kudrivka	1.13
#12	Veres Rivne	1.07
#13	Obolon Kyiv	1.06
#14	Rukh Lviv	1.00
#15	Oleksandria	0.83
#16	SC Poltava	0.82

League avg: 1.35
Total: 23.87 29 matches

Defence

2.35 xGA per match

#16/16

Defence (xGA per match) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank	Club	xGA per match
#1	LNZ Cherkasy	0.65
#2	Shakhtar Donetsk	0.70
#3	Metalist 1925	0.79
#4	Dynamo Kyiv	0.85
#5	Polissya Zhytomyr	1.14
#6	Kolos Kovalivka	1.26
#7	Karpaty Lviv	1.26
#8	Obolon Kyiv	1.32
#9	Zoria Luhansk	1.39
#10	Rukh Lviv	1.50
#11	Veres Rivne	1.51
#12	Kudrivka	1.56
#13	FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih	1.60
#14	Oleksandria	1.78
#15	FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi	1.96
#16	SC Poltava	2.35

League avg: 1.35
Total: 68.13 29 matches

xG difference

-1.53 xGD per match

#16/16

xG difference (xGD per match) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank	Club	xGD per match
#1	Shakhtar Donetsk	+1.36
#2	Dynamo Kyiv	+1.33
#3	LNZ Cherkasy	+0.91
#4	Polissya Zhytomyr	+0.67
#5	Metalist 1925	+0.54
#6	Karpaty Lviv	+0.24
#7	Kolos Kovalivka	+0.05
#8	Zoria Luhansk	+0.00
#9	FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih	-0.21
#10	Obolon Kyiv	-0.26
#11	Kudrivka	-0.43
#12	Veres Rivne	-0.44
#13	Rukh Lviv	-0.49
#14	FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi	-0.76
#15	Oleksandria	-0.95
#16	SC Poltava	-1.53

League avg: 0.00
Total: -44.26 29 matches

Expected points Model

0.53 xPts per match

#16/16

Expected points (xPts per match) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank	Club	xPts per match
#1	Dynamo Kyiv	2.20
#2	Shakhtar Donetsk	2.14
#3	LNZ Cherkasy	2.08
#4	Polissya Zhytomyr	1.76
#5	Metalist 1925	1.72
#6	Karpaty Lviv	1.55
#7	Kolos Kovalivka	1.41
#8	Zoria Luhansk	1.36
#9	FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih	1.26
#10	Rukh Lviv	1.14
#11	Obolon Kyiv	1.14
#12	Veres Rivne	1.09
#13	Kudrivka	1.08
#14	FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi	0.95
#15	Oleksandria	0.76
#16	SC Poltava	0.53

League avg: 1.38
Total: 15.23 vs 13 actual pts

Expected goals here are summed over 29 of 30 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.

What the xG says

SC Poltava's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Ukrainian Premier League. They rank #16 for xG difference at -1.53 per match, from the league's lowest shot volume and low chance quality. Their 23 goals are 0.87 below 23.87 xG, while 12 points are 3.23 below 15.23 xPts — both over the 29 matches with xG.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected

Goals vs xG Includes 3.35 xG from penalties

23 23.87 -0.87 scored 0.87 fewer than xG within normal variance

Goals conceded vs xGA

74 68.13 +5.87 conceded 5.87 more than xGA within normal variance

Points vs xPts Model

12 15.23 -3.23 3.23 points below xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

SC Poltava are 0.87 goals below their xG after 29 matches. The gap was widest at -2.33, against Metalist 1925 on Thu 19/03.

Goals: 23
xG: 23.87
Gap: -0.87

SC Poltava: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date	Opponent	Goals	xG	Match gap	Running gap
Fri 01/08	Rukh Lviv	1	1.08	-0.08	-0.08
Fri 08/08	Veres Rivne	1	0.47	+0.53	+0.45
Sun 17/08	Kudrivka	1	1.13	-0.13	+0.32
Fri 29/08	Zoria Luhansk	1	1.39	-0.39	-0.07
Sun 14/09	Karpaty Lviv	1	0.59	+0.41	+0.34
Sun 21/09	Metalist 1925	0	0.43	-0.43	-0.09
Sat 27/09	Oleksandria	0	1.02	-1.02	-1.11
Sat 04/10	Polissya Zhytomyr	0	0.46	-0.46	-1.57
Fri 17/10	Obolon Kyiv	1	0.90	+0.10	-1.47
Sun 26/10	Kolos Kovalivka	2	1.26	+0.74	-0.73
Sat 01/11	FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih	2	1.85	+0.15	-0.58
Sun 09/11	Shakhtar Donetsk	1	0.33	+0.67	+0.09
Fri 21/11	LNZ Cherkasy	0	0.33	-0.33	-0.24
Mon 01/12	Dynamo Kyiv	2	0.61	+1.39	+1.15
Mon 08/12	FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi	0	0.80	-0.80	+0.35
Sun 14/12	Rukh Lviv	1	0.31	+0.69	+1.04
Fri 20/02	Veres Rivne	2	2.17	-0.17	+0.87
Mon 02/03	Kudrivka	0	1.21	-1.21	-0.34
Sun 08/03	Zoria Luhansk	0	0.72	-0.72	-1.06
Fri 13/03	Karpaty Lviv	0	0.99	-0.99	-2.05
Thu 19/03	Metalist 1925	0	0.28	-0.28	-2.33
Fri 03/04	Oleksandria	3	1.45	+1.55	-0.78
Fri 10/04	Polissya Zhytomyr	0	0.17	-0.17	-0.95
Fri 17/04	Obolon Kyiv	1	1.31	-0.31	-1.26
Fri 24/04	Kolos Kovalivka	0	0.17	-0.17	-1.43
Fri 01/05	FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih	3	1.12	+1.88	+0.45
Sun 10/05	Shakhtar Donetsk	0	0.36	-0.36	+0.09
Wed 13/05	LNZ Cherkasy	0	0.23	-0.23	-0.14
Sat 16/05	Dynamo Kyiv	0	0.73	-0.73	-0.87

Conceded minus xGA, match by match

SC Poltava have conceded 5.87 more than their xGA after 29 matches. The gap was widest at +8.35, against Polissya Zhytomyr on Fri 10/04.

Conceded: 74
xGA: 68.13
Gap: +5.87

SC Poltava: Goals conceded vs xGA, the gap after every match with xG
Date	Opponent	Conceded	xGA	Match gap	Running gap
Fri 01/08	Rukh Lviv	2	0.56	+1.44	+1.44
Fri 08/08	Veres Rivne	0	1.75	-1.75	-0.31
Sun 17/08	Kudrivka	3	2.22	+0.78	+0.47
Fri 29/08	Zoria Luhansk	4	1.99	+2.01	+2.48
Sun 14/09	Karpaty Lviv	1	2.11	-1.11	+1.37
Sun 21/09	Metalist 1925	2	1.71	+0.29	+1.66
Sat 27/09	Oleksandria	1	0.99	+0.01	+1.67
Sat 04/10	Polissya Zhytomyr	4	3.65	+0.35	+2.02
Fri 17/10	Obolon Kyiv	2	1.47	+0.53	+2.55
Sun 26/10	Kolos Kovalivka	2	4.05	-2.05	+0.50
Sat 01/11	FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih	2	3.07	-1.07	-0.57
Sun 09/11	Shakhtar Donetsk	7	4.23	+2.77	+2.20
Fri 21/11	LNZ Cherkasy	2	1.53	+0.47	+2.67
Mon 01/12	Dynamo Kyiv	1	2.47	-1.47	+1.20
Mon 08/12	FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi	3	2.24	+0.76	+1.96
Sun 14/12	Rukh Lviv	2	1.32	+0.68	+2.64
Fri 20/02	Veres Rivne	3	3.56	-0.56	+2.08
Mon 02/03	Kudrivka	2	1.43	+0.57	+2.65
Sun 08/03	Zoria Luhansk	4	2.44	+1.56	+4.21
Fri 13/03	Karpaty Lviv	4	1.26	+2.74	+6.95
Thu 19/03	Metalist 1925	2	2.74	-0.74	+6.21
Fri 03/04	Oleksandria	3	1.91	+1.09	+7.30
Fri 10/04	Polissya Zhytomyr	4	2.95	+1.05	+8.35
Fri 17/04	Obolon Kyiv	1	4.19	-3.19	+5.16
Fri 24/04	Kolos Kovalivka	2	0.97	+1.03	+6.19
Fri 01/05	FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih	3	2.67	+0.33	+6.52
Sun 10/05	Shakhtar Donetsk	4	4.07	-0.07	+6.45
Wed 13/05	LNZ Cherkasy	2	1.93	+0.07	+6.52
Sat 16/05	Dynamo Kyiv	2	2.65	-0.65	+5.87

Points minus xPts, match by match

SC Poltava are 3.23 points below their xPts after 29 matches. The gap was widest at -3.63, against Polissya Zhytomyr on Fri 10/04.

Points: 12
xPts: 15.23
Gap: -3.23

SC Poltava: Points vs xPts, the gap after every match with xG
Date	Opponent	Points	xPts	Match gap	Running gap
Fri 01/08	Rukh Lviv	0	1.85	-1.85	-1.85
Fri 08/08	Veres Rivne	3	0.37	+2.63	+0.78
Sun 17/08	Kudrivka	0	0.64	-0.64	+0.14
Fri 29/08	Zoria Luhansk	0	0.94	-0.94	-0.80
Sun 14/09	Karpaty Lviv	1	0.34	+0.66	-0.14
Sun 21/09	Metalist 1925	0	0.37	-0.37	-0.51
Sat 27/09	Oleksandria	0	1.36	-1.36	-1.87
Sat 04/10	Polissya Zhytomyr	0	0.05	-0.05	-1.92
Fri 17/10	Obolon Kyiv	0	0.87	-0.87	-2.79
Sun 26/10	Kolos Kovalivka	1	0.18	+0.82	-1.97
Sat 01/11	FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih	1	0.69	+0.31	-1.66
Sun 09/11	Shakhtar Donetsk	0	0.02	-0.02	-1.68
Fri 21/11	LNZ Cherkasy	0	0.38	-0.38	-2.06
Mon 01/12	Dynamo Kyiv	3	0.27	+2.73	+0.67
Mon 08/12	FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi	0	0.41	-0.41	+0.26
Sun 14/12	Rukh Lviv	0	0.45	-0.45	-0.19
Fri 20/02	Veres Rivne	0	0.67	-0.67	-0.86
Mon 02/03	Kudrivka	0	1.16	-1.16	-2.02
Sun 08/03	Zoria Luhansk	0	0.31	-0.31	-2.33
Fri 13/03	Karpaty Lviv	0	1.11	-1.11	-3.44
Thu 19/03	Metalist 1925	0	0.10	-0.10	-3.54
Fri 03/04	Oleksandria	1	1.04	-0.04	-3.58
Fri 10/04	Polissya Zhytomyr	0	0.05	-0.05	-3.63
Fri 17/04	Obolon Kyiv	1	0.18	+0.82	-2.81
Fri 24/04	Kolos Kovalivka	0	0.49	-0.49	-3.30
Fri 01/05	FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih	1	0.44	+0.56	-2.74
Sun 10/05	Shakhtar Donetsk	0	0.03	-0.03	-2.77
Wed 13/05	LNZ Cherkasy	0	0.20	-0.20	-2.97
Sat 16/05	Dynamo Kyiv	0	0.26	-0.26	-3.23

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

SC Poltava xG trend

Current form -1.97 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 3 of 29 matches. The worst was against Shakhtar Donetsk on Sun 10/05 (-3.71).

npxG · last 6: 0.53
npxGA · last 6: 2.49

SC Poltava: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date	Opponent	npxG	npxGA	npxGD	Avg so far
Fri 01/08	Rukh Lviv	0.42	0.56	-0.14	-0.14
Fri 08/08	Veres Rivne	0.48	1.75	-1.27	-0.71
Sun 17/08	Kudrivka	1.13	0.70	+0.43	-0.33
Fri 29/08	Zoria Luhansk	1.39	1.99	-0.60	-0.40
Sun 14/09	Karpaty Lviv	0.59	2.12	-1.53	-0.62
Sun 21/09	Metalist 1925	0.36	1.71	-1.35	-0.74
Sat 27/09	Oleksandria	1.00	0.99	+0.01	-0.64
Sat 04/10	Polissya Zhytomyr	0.46	2.89	-2.43	-0.86
Fri 17/10	Obolon Kyiv	0.90	1.47	-0.57	-0.83
Sun 26/10	Kolos Kovalivka	1.26	3.29	-2.03	-0.95
Sat 01/11	FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih	1.83	2.31	-0.48	-0.91
Sun 09/11	Shakhtar Donetsk	0.43	3.13	-2.70	-1.06
Fri 21/11	LNZ Cherkasy	0.33	1.53	-1.20	-1.07
Mon 01/12	Dynamo Kyiv	0.61	2.48	-1.87	-1.12
Mon 08/12	FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi	0.80	1.71	-0.91	-1.11
Sun 14/12	Rukh Lviv	0.31	1.32	-1.01	-1.10
Fri 20/02	Veres Rivne	1.40	2.80	-1.40	-1.12
Mon 02/03	Kudrivka	1.13	0.67	+0.46	-1.03
Sun 08/03	Zoria Luhansk	0.72	2.44	-1.72	-1.07
Fri 13/03	Karpaty Lviv	0.21	1.26	-1.05	-1.07
Thu 19/03	Metalist 1925	0.28	2.75	-2.47	-1.13
Fri 03/04	Oleksandria	1.15	1.91	-0.76	-1.12
Fri 10/04	Polissya Zhytomyr	0.17	2.19	-2.02	-1.16
Fri 17/04	Obolon Kyiv	0.55	3.43	-2.88	-1.23
Fri 24/04	Kolos Kovalivka	0.17	0.97	-0.80	-1.21
Fri 01/05	FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih	1.12	2.67	-1.55	-1.22
Sun 10/05	Shakhtar Donetsk	0.36	4.07	-3.71	-1.32
Wed 13/05	LNZ Cherkasy	0.23	1.93	-1.70	-1.33
Sat 16/05	Dynamo Kyiv	0.73	1.89	-1.16	-1.32

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 0.71 npxG and 2.03 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far: number 1 hardest of 16 in Ukrainian Premier League; +0.10 xG vs league average; Over 30 league matches
Last 5: number 1 hardest of 16 in Ukrainian Premier League; +0.39 xG vs league average; Over 5 league matches

Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.10 xG vs league average · over 30 matches · number 1 hardest of 16

FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi Away −0.34
Dynamo Kyiv Home +0.92
LNZ Cherkasy Away +0.45
Shakhtar Donetsk Home +0.86
FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Home +0.07
Kolos Kovalivka Away +0.08
Obolon Kyiv Away −0.04
Polissya Zhytomyr Home +0.57
Oleksandria Home −0.57
Metalist 1925 Away +0.46
Karpaty Lviv Home +0.14
Zoria Luhansk Away 0.00
Kudrivka Home −0.31
Veres Rivne Away −0.33
Rukh Lviv Home −0.51
FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi Home −0.34
Dynamo Kyiv Away +0.92
LNZ Cherkasy Home +0.45
Shakhtar Donetsk Away +0.86
FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Away +0.07
Kolos Kovalivka Home +0.08
Obolon Kyiv Home −0.04
Polissya Zhytomyr Away +0.57
Oleksandria Away −0.57
Metalist 1925 Home +0.46
Karpaty Lviv Away +0.14
Zoria Luhansk Home 0.00
Kudrivka Away −0.31
Veres Rivne Home −0.33
Rukh Lviv Away −0.51

Last 5

+0.39 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 1 hardest of 16

FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi Away −0.34
Dynamo Kyiv Home +0.92
LNZ Cherkasy Away +0.45
Shakhtar Donetsk Home +0.86
FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Home +0.07

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

SC Poltava shots and chance quality

Low volume, low quality. SC Poltava take 7.8 shots a match (league 12.0) at 0.09 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #16 in Ukrainian Premier League for volume and #13 for quality. 59% of their shots come from inside the box (league 56%).

Attack

Shot volume

7.8 shots per match

#16/16

Shot volume (shots per match) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank	Club	shots per match
#1	Dynamo Kyiv	16.7
#2	Shakhtar Donetsk	16.1
#3	Metalist 1925	14.4
#4	Polissya Zhytomyr	14.3
#5	Karpaty Lviv	13.9
#6	LNZ Cherkasy	13.0
#7	FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih	12.9
#8	Kolos Kovalivka	12.4
#9	Zoria Luhansk	12.2
#10	FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi	11.4
#11	Kudrivka	10.7
#12	Veres Rivne	9.7
#13	Obolon Kyiv	9.6
#14	Rukh Lviv	9.2
#15	Oleksandria	8.4
#16	SC Poltava	7.8

League avg: 12.0
Total: 225 shots from 29 matches

Chance quality

0.09 npxG per shot

#13/16

Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank	Club	npxG per shot
#1	Dynamo Kyiv	0.12
#2	Shakhtar Donetsk	0.12
#3	Polissya Zhytomyr	0.11
#4	LNZ Cherkasy	0.11
#5	Zoria Luhansk	0.11
#6	Veres Rivne	0.11
#7	Obolon Kyiv	0.10
#8	Karpaty Lviv	0.10
#9	Rukh Lviv	0.10
#10	Oleksandria	0.10
#11	FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih	0.10
#12	Kolos Kovalivka	0.10
#13	SC Poltava	0.09
#14	Kudrivka	0.09
#15	FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi	0.09
#16	Metalist 1925	0.09

League avg: 0.10
Total: 20.52 npxG from 225 shots

Defence

Shots allowed

18.3 shots per match

#16/16

Shots allowed (shots per match) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank	Club	shots per match
#1	Shakhtar Donetsk	6.5
#2	Metalist 1925	8.1
#3	LNZ Cherkasy	8.5
#4	Dynamo Kyiv	8.8
#5	Polissya Zhytomyr	10.1
#6	Kolos Kovalivka	11.4
#7	Rukh Lviv	11.8
#8	Karpaty Lviv	11.8
#9	Zoria Luhansk	12.2
#10	Obolon Kyiv	12.7
#11	Veres Rivne	13.0
#12	FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih	14.0
#13	Kudrivka	14.1
#14	FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi	14.7
#15	Oleksandria	15.9
#16	SC Poltava	18.3

League avg: 12.0
Total: 531 shots allowed from 29 matches

Chance quality allowed

0.11 npxGA per shot

#13/16

Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank	Club	npxGA per shot
#1	LNZ Cherkasy	0.08
#2	Metalist 1925	0.09
#3	Obolon Kyiv	0.09
#4	Dynamo Kyiv	0.09
#5	Karpaty Lviv	0.10
#6	Oleksandria	0.10
#7	Shakhtar Donetsk	0.10
#8	Kolos Kovalivka	0.10
#9	Polissya Zhytomyr	0.10
#10	Zoria Luhansk	0.11
#11	Kudrivka	0.11
#12	Veres Rivne	0.11
#13	SC Poltava	0.11
#14	FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih	0.11
#15	Rukh Lviv	0.12
#16	FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi	0.12

League avg: 0.10
Total: 58.93 npxGA from 531 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

59% inside the box

League avg 56%

From 133 of 225 shots over 29 matches

Shots allowed, location

59% allowed inside the box

League avg 56%

From 313 of 531 shots allowed over 29 matches

How the shot figures are made →

SC Poltava home and away xG

SC Poltava per-match figures at home and away
Measure	Home	Away
Matches	15	15 14 with xG
xG / match	0.79	0.85
xGA / match	2.20	2.51
xGD / match	-1.41	-1.66
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →	0.54	0.51

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every SC Poltava match by xG

Window

Season Last 10 Last 5

Venue

All Home Away

Sort

Date xGD

Last 10

Matches: 10 9 with xG
xG / match: 0.65
xGA / match: 2.68
xGD / match: -2.03
Points: 4 of 30

Date Opponent Score xG Chances xGA xGD xPts Model

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 4.19. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

SC Poltava in Ukrainian Premier League

Attack

xG / match #16 of 16
Shots / match #16 of 16
Chance quality #13 of 16
Home xG #15 of 18
Away xG #16 of 18

Defence

xGA / match #16 of 16
Shots allowed #16 of 16
Chance quality allowed #13 of 16

Overall

About the data

xG data: Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics: xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics: xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

SC Poltava expected goals (xG) 2025/2026

SC Poltava xG and xGA per match

What the xG says

Actual vs expected

Goals minus xG, match by match

Conceded minus xGA, match by match

Points minus xPts, match by match

SC Poltava xG trend

Strength of schedule

SC Poltava shots and chance quality

Attack

Defence

Shot profile

SC Poltava home and away xG

Every SC Poltava match by xG

SC Poltava in Ukrainian Premier League

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data