What Malmö FF have left to play in Allsvenskan 2026/2027, soonest first. Open a match for the projection behind it and the prices standing against it.
Fixture outlook
4 matches ahead in Allsvenskan
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
What the fixtures say
The run of 4 matches ahead of Malmö FF in Allsvenskan rates 2.5 of 5 for difficulty, which the scale calls Balanced. 2 of them rate easier than balanced, and nothing in the run rates harder. The model expects 2.01 projected xG a match from them and 6.9 of the 12 points the priced fixtures could return. The hardest of them is IF Elfsborg away, banded 3 of 5 — Balanced, against an attack rated 47/99 and a defence rated 60/99.
The run at a glance
Halmstads BK away Wed 28/10
Projected xG 2.47 – 1.42 Malmö FF win 60%
IF Elfsborg away Fri 23/10
Projected xG 1.73 – 1.63 Malmö FF win 39%
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Open the match page for Kalmar FF
Mon 12/10 Home Kalmar FF Allsvenskan
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 37/99, defence 53/99Projected xG 2.05 – 1.34 Projected xPts 1.84- Malmö FF
- 53%
- Draw
- 25%
- Kalmar FF
- 22%
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Open the match page for BK Häcken
Sun 18/10 Home BK Häcken Allsvenskan
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 51/99, defence 67/99Projected xG 1.79 – 1.50 Projected xPts 1.56- Malmö FF
- 43%
- Draw
- 27%
- BK Häcken
- 30%
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Open the match page for IF Elfsborg
Fri 23/10 Away IF Elfsborg Allsvenskan
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 47/99, defence 60/99Projected xG 1.73 – 1.63 Projected xPts 1.44- IF Elfsborg
- 34%
- Draw
- 27%
- Malmö FF
- 39%
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Open the match page for Halmstads BK
Wed 28/10 Away Halmstads BK Allsvenskan
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 33/99, defence 18/99Projected xG 2.47 – 1.42 Projected xPts 2.03- Halmstads BK
- 18%
- Draw
- 21%
- Malmö FF
- 60%
Allsvenskan publishes only its next few rounds, so the list stops here. The rest of the season is added as the league schedules it.
The band is how hard the model rates each match, from 1 (easiest) to 5 (hardest). Opponent attack and defence use the same 1–99 scale as Team Strength, where 50 is the average side in Allsvenskan.
Fixture difficulty in Allsvenskan
Reads each matchup for Malmö FF: the band is cut from the model's chances of Malmö FF winning and losing the match, so Malmö FF's own strength and home advantage are in it.
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
Next 4 opponents
−0.14 xG vs league average
League rank unavailable. Only 4 upcoming league fixtures are currently scheduled.
Reads the opponents alone, whoever plays them: each one's fitted xG margin against Allsvenskan's average club, with no venue and nothing of Malmö FF's own strength in it.
Opponents behind the figure
Next 4
−0.14 xG vs league average · over 4 fixtures
- Kalmar FF Home −0.15
- BK Häcken Home +0.26
- IF Elfsborg Away +0.10
- Halmstads BK Away −0.78
About these numbers
What is published, what is worked out, and what is the model's
Published by the fixtures feed and stored as it arrives: the kickoff time, the two clubs, the competition, and whether a match is still scheduled.
Worked out here from stored figures: each opponent's attack and defence on a 1–99 scale, where 50 is the average side in Allsvenskan and a higher score is a stronger side at both ends; the difficulty band, cut from the model's chances of winning and losing each fixture; and everything the outlook, the strip and the fixture difficulty block add up from the rows — the run's mean band, its averages and totals, the counts they were taken over, the placings and the competition's average.
Worked out here from the model's ratings alone: the Upcoming opponent strength block, the mean of the next 5 opponents' fitted xG margins against the league's average club, whoever plays them, and its rank among the competition's clubs.
The model's output, for matches nobody has played yet: projected xG and xGA, the chances of a win, a draw and a loss, and xPts.
Projected xG is what the model expects a side to create in a match still to come. It is not the xG on the Results page, which measures the chances a side actually had.
xPts is what those three chances are worth in points: 3 times the chance of a win plus the chance of a draw, so 3 is the most a single fixture can be worth.
The difficulty band runs from 1, the most favourable fixture, to 5, the least favourable — so the lower a run's difficulty, the kinder the run.