Allsvenskan expected points table 2026/2027
Every Allsvenskan club ranked on the points its match-by-match chances were worth, with the position the real table gives it and the distance between the two.
Hammarby IF lead on expected points with 42.55 over 19 matches with xG. That is 7.65 clear of IK Sirius. AIK sit 5 places higher in the table than their chances place them: 8 against 13 on expected points. Malmö FF sit 3 places lower in the table than their chances place them: 7 against 4 on expected points.
Table against xPts
- Higher in the table than on xPts
- Lower in the table than on xPts
- Fewer than 3 places apart
Ranked on expected points
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | Pts vs xPts | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hammarby IF HAM | 22 | 43 | 42.55 | −3.55 | 2 | 1 place below its expected-points rank |
| 2 | IK Sirius IKS | 22 | 51 | 34.89 | +9.11 | 1 | 1 place above its expected-points rank |
| 3 | Djurgårdens IF DJU | 22 | 42 | 30.76 | −7.76 | 3 | Same place as on expected points |
| 4 | Malmö FF MAL | 22 | 33 | 30.12 | −2.12 | 7 | 3 places below its expected-points rank |
| 5 | BK Häcken BKH | 22 | 36 | 28.94 | +1.06 | 5 | Same place as on expected points |
| 6 | IFK Göteborg IFK | 22 | 32 | 28.87 | −1.87 | 9 | 3 places below its expected-points rank |
| 7 | GAIS GAI | 22 | 30 | 27.43 | +0.57 | 10 | 3 places below its expected-points rank |
| 8 | IF Elfsborg IFE | 22 | 37 | 25.32 | +5.68 | 4 | 4 places above its expected-points rank |
| 9 | IF Brommapojkarna IFB | 22 | 25 | 23.34 | −1.34 | 11 | 2 places below its expected-points rank |
| 10 | Västerås SK VÄS | 22 | 35 | 22.93 | +5.07 | 6 | 4 places above its expected-points rank |
| 11 | Degerfors IF DEG | 22 | 19 | 21.88 | −2.88 | 14 | 3 places below its expected-points rank |
| 12 | Kalmar FF KAL | 22 | 19 | 20.58 | −8.58 | 13 | 1 place below its expected-points rank |
| 13 | AIK AIK | 22 | 33 | 19.06 | +9.94 | 8 | 5 places above its expected-points rank |
| 14 | Mjällby AIF MJÄ | 22 | 22 | 17.23 | +1.77 | 12 | 2 places above its expected-points rank |
| 15 | Örgryte IS ÖRG | 22 | 15 | 16.62 | −2.62 | 15 | Same place as on expected points |
| 16 | Halmstads BK HAL | 22 | 14 | 11.58 | −1.58 | 16 | Same place as on expected points |
16 of the 16 clubs here have expected figures over fewer matches than they have played. For those clubs every expected figure counts only the matches with xG, and the goals it is compared with come from those same matches.
- Higher in the table than on xPts
- Lower in the table than on xPts
A gap can come from finishing, goalkeeping, game state or chance. xG and xPts are model estimates, not the result a team deserved.
About these figures What each column measures, and the thresholds this ranking is under. Show Hide
- P
- — Matches played
- Pts
- — Points
- xPts
- — Expected points: the points a team's match-by-match xG would be worth on average.
- Pts vs xPts
- — Actual points minus expected points based on match xG.
- Actual
- — Position in the real table
- Diff
- — Places between this ranking and the real table. Up is a club higher in the real table than its expected points place it.
Every club with expected goals behind it is ranked here: these are season totals rather than rates, so a club is not held back by having played fewer matches. The ranking opens once the median club has played 3.