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Friday, 20/03/2026 at 19:30

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Match report · Austrian Bundesliga

SK Sturm Graz 1:1 Red Bull Salzburg

SK Sturm Graz Home 0.87 xG
Red Bull Salzburg Away 1.26 xG
11 Red Bull Salzburg had the better chances, but it finished level

The shots behind it

SK Sturm Graz Red Bull Salzburg
Shots
14
15
On target
3
1
Inside the box
9
11
xG per shot
0.06
0.08

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
SK Sturm Graz

1.71 xG created 1.00 xGA

  • W 0.69 created, 0.55 conceded against SV Ried
  • L 0.66 created, 0.73 conceded against WSG Tirol
  • W 1.67 created, 1.09 conceded against FC Blau Weiss Linz
  • D 2.70 created, 0.83 conceded against Wolfsberger AC
  • W 1.20 created, 0.74 conceded against SC Rheindorf Altach
  • W 3.35 created, 2.07 conceded against Austria Wien
Red Bull Salzburg

2.20 xG created 1.21 xGA

  • W 3.34 created, 1.61 conceded against Wolfsberger AC
  • D 2.14 created, 1.02 conceded against Grazer AK 1902
  • W 1.58 created, 2.39 conceded against LASK
  • D 1.98 created, 0.27 conceded against TSV Hartberg
  • L 2.14 created, 0.48 conceded against SK Rapid Wien
  • L 2.00 created, 1.51 conceded against SK Rapid Wien

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.