1. FC Heidenheim 3:1 1. FC Union Berlin: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Saturday, 11/04/2026 at 15:30

Full time

Match report · Bundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim Home 1.85 xG · 7 shots

1. FC Union Berlin Away 0.99 xG · 10 shots

31 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

9' Mathias Honsak 1. FC Heidenheim · 0.83 xG chance 1–0
36' Mathias Honsak 1. FC Heidenheim · 0.71 xG chance 2–0
75' Leopold Querfeld 1. FC Union Berlin · 0.24 xG chance 2–1
79' Budu Zivzivadze 1. FC Heidenheim · 0.06 xG chance 3–1

The shots behind it

1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Union Berlin

Shots: 7; 10
On target: 3; 3
Inside the box: 6; 10
xG per shot: 0.31; 0.09
Open play xG: 1.33; 0.56
Set-piece xG: 0.82; 0.38
Penalties: —; —

1. FC Heidenheim's shots add up to 2.15 xG and 1. FC Union Berlin's to 0.94; the published figures are 1.85 and 0.99.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

17 shots · 3.09 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Union Berlin
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

1. FC Heidenheim

1.22 xG created 1.75 xGA

D 2.04 created, 2.24 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
L 1.36 created, 2.64 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
L 1.07 created, 2.34 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
L 0.15 created, 0.92 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
D 1.57 created, 1.62 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
D 1.14 created, 0.73 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach

1. FC Union Berlin

0.77 xG created 2.09 xGA

W 0.64 created, 0.95 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L 0.13 created, 2.68 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
L 1.16 created, 1.96 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
W 0.54 created, 1.11 conceded against SC Freiburg
L 0.21 created, 5.53 conceded against FC Bayern München
D 1.95 created, 0.33 conceded against FC St. Pauli

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

1. FC Heidenheim: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

1. FC Union Berlin 1:2 1. FC Heidenheim 29/11/2025 xG 0.97 – 0.59

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.