xgEdge

Sunday, 22/02/2026 at 19:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim 3:3 VfB Stuttgart

1. FC Heidenheim Home 2.04 xG · 10 shots
VfB Stuttgart Away 2.24 xG · 12 shots
33 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

  1. 5' Chris Führich VfB Stuttgart · 0.55 xG chance 0–1
  2. 20' Eren Dinkçi 1. FC Heidenheim · 0.20 xG chance 1–1
  3. 34' Arijon Ibrahimović (pen.) 1. FC Heidenheim · 0.82 xG chance 2–1
  4. 44' Maximilian Mittelstädt (pen.) VfB Stuttgart · 0.82 xG chance 2–2
  5. 82' Sirlord Conteh 1. FC Heidenheim · 0.51 xG chance 3–2
  6. 88' Deniz Undav VfB Stuttgart · 0.20 xG chance 3–3

The shots behind it

1. FC Heidenheim VfB Stuttgart
Shots
10
12
On target
6
8
Inside the box
10
8
xG per shot
0.21
0.19
Open play xG
1.04
1.46
Set-piece xG
0.28
0.00
Penalties
1
1
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.34 for 1. FC Heidenheim and 1.46 for VfB Stuttgart.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

1. FC Heidenheim · Arijon Ibrahimović · 34' · Goal · 12 m · 0.82 xG VfB Stuttgart · Maximilian Mittelstädt · 44' · Goal · 12 m · 0.82 xG VfB Stuttgart · Chris Führich · 5' · Goal · 14 m · 0.55 xG 1. FC Heidenheim · Sirlord Conteh · 82' · Goal · 3 m · 0.51 xG 1. FC Heidenheim · Adam Kölle · 90' · No goal · 5 m · 0.21 xG VfB Stuttgart · Deniz Undav · 90' · No goal · 10 m · 0.21 xG 1. FC Heidenheim · Eren Dinkçi · 20' · Goal · 10 m · 0.20 xG VfB Stuttgart · Deniz Undav · 88' · Goal · 14 m · 0.20 xG VfB Stuttgart · Deniz Undav · 69' · No goal · 3 m · 0.18 xG 1. FC Heidenheim · Arijon Ibrahimović · 82' · No goal · 15 m · 0.18 xG 1. FC Heidenheim · Arijon Ibrahimović · 50' · No goal · 13 m · 0.10 xG VfB Stuttgart · Chris Führich · 27' · No goal · 19 m · 0.09 xG VfB Stuttgart · Deniz Undav · 58' · No goal · 15 m · 0.07 xG VfB Stuttgart · Bilal El Khannouss · 25' · No goal · 21 m · 0.05 xG 1. FC Heidenheim · Patrick Mainka · 90' · No goal · 9 m · 0.05 xG VfB Stuttgart · Ermedin Demirović · 18' · No goal · 7 m · 0.04 xG 1. FC Heidenheim · Eren Dinkçi · 37' · No goal · 16 m · 0.03 xG VfB Stuttgart · Maximilian Mittelstädt · 53' · No goal · 20 m · 0.03 xG VfB Stuttgart · Bilal El Khannouss · 37' · No goal · 3 m · 0.02 xG 1. FC Heidenheim · Patrick Mainka · 45' · No goal · 15 m · 0.02 xG 1. FC Heidenheim · Stefan Schimmer · 69' · No goal · 16 m · 0.02 xG VfB Stuttgart · Jeff Chabot · 90' · No goal · 27 m · 0.02 xG

All shots

22 shots · 4.42 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • 1. FC Heidenheim
  • VfB Stuttgart
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
1. FC Heidenheim

1.43 xG created 1.79 xGA

  • L 1.55 created, 1.39 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
  • D 0.99 created, 0.92 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
  • L 1.26 created, 1.69 conceded against RB Leipzig
  • L 2.26 created, 3.32 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
  • L 1.53 created, 1.48 conceded against Hamburger SV
  • L 0.97 created, 1.91 conceded against FC Augsburg
VfB Stuttgart

1.82 xG created 1.32 xGA

  • W 2.31 created, 0.98 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
  • D 2.05 created, 1.71 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
  • W 1.83 created, 1.17 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
  • W 1.62 created, 0.70 conceded against SC Freiburg
  • L 0.88 created, 1.77 conceded against FC St. Pauli
  • W 2.24 created, 1.59 conceded against 1. FC Köln

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

1. FC Heidenheim: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.